There is no guarantee of recent updates; I apologize for this.
Because Shisan is preparing to go around and take a look during this time, and also to relax both physically and mentally, but within the circle of Shisan, I will send messages to everyone every day.
And I take every comment seriously and reply to each one.
In recent days, most friends have entered panic mode because there are many predictions in the market that the market will decline, the bull market has ended, and the bear market has begun.
Many people are very fearful, believing that what they say makes a lot of sense, and some even say that Bitcoin will start to crash soon, dropping to 40,000 to 60,000.
Many people are starting to panic, and many friends have left me messages expressing their concerns about the crash multiple times.
Here, Shisan gives everyone a reassurance: the probability of Bitcoin directly entering a bear market from the current position is zero.
That's right, it is zero.
It is almost impossible for the market to directly enter a bear market from the current position.
The core reason is simple: the big players are still in the layout stage, and the retail investors have not entered the market yet. Coupled with the macroeconomic environment, it is impossible for the market to directly enter a bear market from now on.
Judging whether we will enter a bear market is actually very simple: just look at those around you who don't usually pay attention to the cryptocurrency market starting to talk about Bitcoin and preparing to spend a little money to enter.
There are still various junk coins frequently appearing in the market that surge instantly, some increasing tenfold or even dozens of times in a day, causing all the retail investors to rush forward mindlessly as if they were injected with adrenaline.
Various new projects on the market are emerging like mushrooms after rain, each claiming to change the world and to increase by a hundred times...
Major communities have started organizing the retail investors to rush for level 1...
At this time, we can determine that the bull market has come to an end, and we must resolutely retreat, leaving at most 10% of our positions to observe.
This is the bull market.
2,
Is this the peak of the bull market?
Of course not, everyone can see that in the current cryptocurrency circle, the retail investors are basically unwilling to speak, and there is no crazy buying behavior.
Currently, what everyone feels more is fear.
At this time, does the big player want to end the bull market and enter a bear market? Who are they harvesting?
The market will not turn bear when no one is paying attention, just as it will not start harvesting the market when the retail investors' capital pool is not yet formed.
If they were to harvest, they could basically only harvest the old retail investors, while the old retail investors are very resilient and hard to be harvested.
For example, Shisan currently has less than 70% cash position, mainly concentrated in Bitcoin, Ethereum, BNB, and some mainstream coins like SOL.
Even if we directly enter a bear market now, I can withstand it until the next bull market.
So now entering a bear market, the big players can't make money at all, and the funds that can be harvested are very few, at least not enough to fill the big players' stomachs.
So, the frequent bear market theories in the current market can be seen as the big players maliciously guiding public opinion; often at this time, the big players quietly lay out behind the scenes.
The Ethereum spot ETF pledge has always been seeking approval; as for when it will be approved, we don't know, but it will definitely be approved at some point, possibly in the next few weeks or next year.
No matter what happens, once it goes through, it will be a nuclear-level positive news.
Because investment institutions have a massive amount of capital in hand, if they can earn returns through pledges, they will definitely lay out in advance.
They are not fools; when laying out, they will definitely create negative public opinion through various means to suppress the price of Ethereum, giving themselves a layout period.
They may even create a gap for a crash to trigger panic in the market, absorbing more blood-stained chips.
3,
In the short term, the market does have huge correction risks, but this risk is not a bear market risk; rather, it is that the big players behind need to stock up.
The market trend is often the opposite of what the retail investors consciously feel.
When we feel that the market may plummet and fall into panic, the market will rebound.
When we feel that the market will soar and buy crazily, the market often drops.
So there is indeed a risk of correction in the short term, but we don't need to panic; instead, we should see this as a great opportunity to buy at the bottom.
The layout of the cryptocurrency market is actually not complex. As long as you can see through the essence behind things and dance to the rhythm of the big players, you will not lose money.
Many people always lose money and feel that there is no rule in the cryptocurrency market because they are too addicted to short-term speculation.
If you keep your eyes long-term like Shisan, you will find that the cryptocurrency market is still the market with the largest dividends in the entire investment market.
Indeed, the investment targets have definite investment value, and with a huge price range, the money we can make is many times more than in other investment markets.
In the short term, many people with orders encourage you to trade frequently every day, even if you make mistakes they will encourage you, making you feel ecstatic.
Little do they know, the more you trade, the more commissions he can earn.
But can you make money?
For those who like to do contracts, summarize for yourself, have you made money?
Shisan's exclusive 30% rebate link: https://www.binance.com/join?ref=CH3VL36C
Just click to register directly, or enter the invitation code: CH3VL36C
Come on, people in the cryptocurrency market,
Welcome to follow Shisan, let’s cross through the bull and bear markets and see through the complexities of the cryptocurrency world.