Techandtips123
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Will There Be Any Altseason This Year?
This is the burning question in crypto—will there be an altseason? And the answer? Not so simple.
We’ve been spoon-fed the idea that every four years, altseason arrives like clockwork. We wait for that cash-grab moment to make life-changing gains… but this time? It didn’t come.
So now, everyone’s wondering—did we just break the pattern? Or wait, was there ever a pattern to begin with?
Chapter - 1: The Illusion of a Pattern
Our brains are wired to find patterns—it’s how we make sense of things. See a few cycles repeat, and suddenly we think we’ve cracked the code. In crypto, the pattern that everyone swore by looked something like this:
▨ Bitcoin Halving → BTC Pumps → ETH Pumps → Alts Explode
▨ Rotation of Liquidity from BTC to Alts
▨ Retail Mania Fuels the Blow-Off Top
▨ Bitcoin Dominance Collapses, Altseason Peaks
Sounds familiar, right? But this cycle? Something went wrong.
Bitcoin followed the script—halving happened, BTC went up, hit new ATHs ($105K as of writing). But where the hell was the rotation? Instead of alts following the lead, BTC just kept eating everything.
Retail did show up, but instead of flooding into altcoins, they threw cash at Pump.fun and memecoins. Some made it out with 100x gains, but most got wrecked. More losers than winners = no altseason fuel.
So, did we actually break the pattern? Or was the pattern a lie all along?
Chapter - 2: Low Float, High FDV
This wasn’t a new problem, but damn, this cycle made it worse than ever.
▨ VCs controlled everything—grabbing 40%+ of a project’s supply before retail even had a chance.
▨ Only 10% of supply was circulating, with the rest locked, ready to dump as soon as prices pumped.
▨ Retail got rugged before they even started.
Instead of buying innovation, retail was forced into exit liquidity mode.
The moment a hyped-up alt hit the market, unlock schedules crushed the price, and suddenly, what looked like a promising project turned into a slow-motion rug pull.
High FDV = high risk, low reward. And people caught on quick. Instead of piling into these projects, they just stayed away, leaving VC-funded altcoins to bleed into irrelevance.
Chapter - 3: Memecoins and the Retail
This cycle? Memecoins didn’t just play a role. They became the entire game.
▨ Retail didn’t bet on tech. They bet on vibes. Instead of hunting for “the next Ethereum,” they YOLO’d into shitcoins with funny names.
▨ Pump.fun made gambling too easy. People weren’t investing anymore—they were playing a glorified slot machine.
▨ VC-backed alts stood no chance. Why lock tokens for months in a high-FDV deathtrap when a random Solana memecoin could 100x overnight?
This wasn’t just a market trend. It was a shift in how retail plays the game. Traditional alts didn’t just struggle—they got ignored.
Chapter - 4: The Rotation
Rotation fuels altseason. But this time? It never happened
▨ BTC dominance refused to drop. Normally, after BTC runs, dominance falls as money moves into alts. This cycle? It stayed high and kept rising.
▨ ETH underperformed. The ETH/BTC ratio hit multi-year lows, and even the ETH ETF announcement barely moved the needle.
▨ VC-backed alts turned into liquidity traps. Instead of leading the market, they bled out post-TGE.
Altseason needs rotation. But BTC kept all the liquidity, retail chased memes, and VCs killed trust.
Chapter - 5: TradFi and Institutions Altseason
Crypto used to be wild. This cycle? TradFi showed up and made it boring.
▨ The Bitcoin-Only Liquidity Trap Spot Bitcoin ETFs sucked in billions from BlackRock, Fidelity, and other TradFi giants. But they only bought BTC. Retail followed their lead, believing “institutions know best.” This left zero liquidity for alts.
▨ Ethereum’s Institutional Flop People expected an ETH ETF to spark a rally. Instead, ETH/BTC collapsed. Institutions don’t care about ETH—it’s too complex, too risky. Without ETH leading the way, alts never got their turn.
▨ VC Dumping and High FDV Scams VCs used TradFi’s presence to rug retail harder than ever. They didn’t invest in projects—they cashed out.
▨ Bitcoin Maximalism Went Corporate Before TradFi, BTC maxis were just Twitter loudmouths. Now?
They’re running the show. Big firms pushed the “Bitcoin is the only crypto worth holding” narrative, killing retail appetite for alts.
TL;DR: TradFi made Bitcoin mainstream, but it killed the speculation that fueled altseason.
Chapter - 6: What Comes Next?
So, is altseason officially dead? Not really. But it won’t look the same as before.
▨ The old cycle is gone. Don’t expect a massive altcoin rotation like in 2017 or 2021.
▨ New narratives will be there. The AI sector, RWAs, and real decentralized infra might lead instead.
▨ BTC dominance isn’t fading soon. As long as institutions keep buying BTC, alts won’t get much oxygen.
If you’re waiting for a classic altseason, you’re waiting for something that may never come. The winners of this market? They’ll be the ones adapting, not holding onto old patterns. Dont Chase Speculation Chase Innovation & Sometimes Memes (😊)
▨ Messari
▨ Bitcoin Treasuries
▨ Kaiko
▨ Binance Research
🅃🄴🄲🄷🄰🄽🄳🅃🄸🄿🅂123
#USTariffs
#BitcoinReserveWave
#altsesaon
We’ve been spoon-fed the idea that every four years, altseason arrives like clockwork. We wait for that cash-grab moment to make life-changing gains… but this time? It didn’t come.
So now, everyone’s wondering—did we just break the pattern? Or wait, was there ever a pattern to begin with?
Chapter - 1: The Illusion of a Pattern
Our brains are wired to find patterns—it’s how we make sense of things. See a few cycles repeat, and suddenly we think we’ve cracked the code. In crypto, the pattern that everyone swore by looked something like this:
▨ Bitcoin Halving → BTC Pumps → ETH Pumps → Alts Explode
▨ Rotation of Liquidity from BTC to Alts
▨ Retail Mania Fuels the Blow-Off Top
▨ Bitcoin Dominance Collapses, Altseason Peaks
Sounds familiar, right? But this cycle? Something went wrong.
Bitcoin followed the script—halving happened, BTC went up, hit new ATHs ($105K as of writing). But where the hell was the rotation? Instead of alts following the lead, BTC just kept eating everything.
Retail did show up, but instead of flooding into altcoins, they threw cash at Pump.fun and memecoins. Some made it out with 100x gains, but most got wrecked. More losers than winners = no altseason fuel.
So, did we actually break the pattern? Or was the pattern a lie all along?
Chapter - 2: Low Float, High FDV
This wasn’t a new problem, but damn, this cycle made it worse than ever.
▨ VCs controlled everything—grabbing 40%+ of a project’s supply before retail even had a chance.
▨ Only 10% of supply was circulating, with the rest locked, ready to dump as soon as prices pumped.
▨ Retail got rugged before they even started.
Instead of buying innovation, retail was forced into exit liquidity mode.
The moment a hyped-up alt hit the market, unlock schedules crushed the price, and suddenly, what looked like a promising project turned into a slow-motion rug pull.
High FDV = high risk, low reward. And people caught on quick. Instead of piling into these projects, they just stayed away, leaving VC-funded altcoins to bleed into irrelevance.
Chapter - 3: Memecoins and the Retail
This cycle? Memecoins didn’t just play a role. They became the entire game.
▨ Retail didn’t bet on tech. They bet on vibes. Instead of hunting for “the next Ethereum,” they YOLO’d into shitcoins with funny names.
▨ Pump.fun made gambling too easy. People weren’t investing anymore—they were playing a glorified slot machine.
▨ VC-backed alts stood no chance. Why lock tokens for months in a high-FDV deathtrap when a random Solana memecoin could 100x overnight?
This wasn’t just a market trend. It was a shift in how retail plays the game. Traditional alts didn’t just struggle—they got ignored.
Chapter - 4: The Rotation
Rotation fuels altseason. But this time? It never happened
▨ BTC dominance refused to drop. Normally, after BTC runs, dominance falls as money moves into alts. This cycle? It stayed high and kept rising.
▨ ETH underperformed. The ETH/BTC ratio hit multi-year lows, and even the ETH ETF announcement barely moved the needle.
▨ VC-backed alts turned into liquidity traps. Instead of leading the market, they bled out post-TGE.
Altseason needs rotation. But BTC kept all the liquidity, retail chased memes, and VCs killed trust.
Chapter - 5: TradFi and Institutions Altseason
Crypto used to be wild. This cycle? TradFi showed up and made it boring.
▨ The Bitcoin-Only Liquidity Trap Spot Bitcoin ETFs sucked in billions from BlackRock, Fidelity, and other TradFi giants. But they only bought BTC. Retail followed their lead, believing “institutions know best.” This left zero liquidity for alts.
▨ Ethereum’s Institutional Flop People expected an ETH ETF to spark a rally. Instead, ETH/BTC collapsed. Institutions don’t care about ETH—it’s too complex, too risky. Without ETH leading the way, alts never got their turn.
▨ VC Dumping and High FDV Scams VCs used TradFi’s presence to rug retail harder than ever. They didn’t invest in projects—they cashed out.
▨ Bitcoin Maximalism Went Corporate Before TradFi, BTC maxis were just Twitter loudmouths. Now?
They’re running the show. Big firms pushed the “Bitcoin is the only crypto worth holding” narrative, killing retail appetite for alts.
TL;DR: TradFi made Bitcoin mainstream, but it killed the speculation that fueled altseason.
Chapter - 6: What Comes Next?
So, is altseason officially dead? Not really. But it won’t look the same as before.
▨ The old cycle is gone. Don’t expect a massive altcoin rotation like in 2017 or 2021.
▨ New narratives will be there. The AI sector, RWAs, and real decentralized infra might lead instead.
▨ BTC dominance isn’t fading soon. As long as institutions keep buying BTC, alts won’t get much oxygen.
If you’re waiting for a classic altseason, you’re waiting for something that may never come. The winners of this market? They’ll be the ones adapting, not holding onto old patterns. Dont Chase Speculation Chase Innovation & Sometimes Memes (😊)
▨ Messari
▨ Bitcoin Treasuries
▨ Kaiko
▨ Binance Research
🅃🄴🄲🄷🄰🄽🄳🅃🄸🄿🅂123
#USTariffs
#BitcoinReserveWave
#altsesaon
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.