🔍 Bitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis – August 2025 Update
Current Price: ~$115,022
Intraday High: $115,666
Intraday Low: $114,196
24h Change: +$790 (≈ +0.69%)
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🔧 Technical Analysis
Trend: The weekly chart continues to reflect a bullish trend, with both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages providing strong support.
RSI: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains neutral (between 30–70), leaving room for upward or downward movement without overbought/oversold pressure.
Pattern: A potential inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed, suggesting a target of $133,000, provided BTC holds above the key support at ~$114,000.
Price Model: The "Power of 3" accumulation model shows price compression before a possible breakout toward $126,000, as long as $BTC breaks the resistance at $115,300–$116,800.
📊 Fundamental Analysis & Key Drivers
1. Institutional Adoption & Regulation
Increased interest from institutional investors via spot Bitcoin ETFs is boosting demand and liquidity.
The recent U.S. policy shift toward Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset adds long-term confidence and credibility.
2. Macro Environment
The U.S. Federal Reserve has maintained interest rates at 4.25%–4.50%, signaling a neutral monetary stance and potential cuts ahead.
This environment supports risk-on assets like Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and economic instability.
📈 Price Forecasts from Analysts
Source / Model 2025 Target Price Notes
John Glover (Elliott Wave) ~$140,000 Followed by a correction in 2026
Global X ETF Projection ~$200,000 Backed by ETF flows and market momentum
Economic Times Crypto Forecast ~$250,000 Driven by adoption, scarcity, and growth
Changelly / CoinCodex ~$116,700 Near-term price stability expected
⚠️ Risk Scenarios
Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, warned of a potential correction to $100,000 if U.S. macro data worsens (e.g., job market slowdown, reduced liquidity).
Failure to hold above the current $115K–$116K resistance zone may send BTC lower toward $110K or even $104K, based on technical pressure.
✅ Summary
