1. Key Structure & Levels
* 📈Green box = critical support zone (~117K to ~116K area) that has been a pivot/mid-range liquidity area. Failure to hold and show a clean bullish reaction here opens the door to a major breakdown toward the lower demand zone near 113K–112K.
* 📉”45M Wick” red dashed line (~115.6K–115.7K) is a short-term reference resistance. A decisive reclaim and hold above this level signals short-covering and potential continuation higher.
* 🎯Higher target: Reclaiming that area with momentum sets up a long toward ~120K (the prior liquidity high / resistance above).
* 📉Deviation marked below prior structure shows liquidity sweep—common shakeout behavior; price recovered briefly but has since tested lower structure again.
🟢Bullish trigger (long setup):🟢
* 🟢Price holds green box, shows a strong bullish rejection candle / volume expansion.
* ✅Clears and sustains above the 45M Wick (~115.6K) and ideally reclaims it as support.
* 🟢Entry: on retest/support hold above ~115.6K or breakout with confirmation.
* 🎯Target: first take-profit near 120K, stop below recent swing low (~114K) or underneath the green box if invalidated.
⭕️Bearish breakdown:⛔️
* ⭕️Price fails to react / closes below the green box with follow-through.
* ⛔️Breakdown likely accelerates toward the next significant demand zone around 113K–112K.
* ⭕️Short can be structured on loss of the box with a stop back above the top of the box (~117K); target the lower green demand region.
3. Risk Management
* 🔺Use defined risk: risk only if reward:risk is ≥2:1.
* 🔺Watch for fakeouts—liquidity grabs below the box before reversal are common; wait for confirmation (e.g., retest & rejection or clean higher-timeframe structure hold).
4. Macro Factors
* 🔸Momentum around institutional flows, ETF-related positioning, and macro liquidity can amplify moves from these technical pivots.
* 🔸High leverage in futures markets means sharp swings can cascade if key technical areas fail or flip.
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