Current Situation: The bull-bear meat grinder has been activated

Current price stagnant at 3520: Coinciding with the weekly MA120 and the 4-hour Bollinger lower band intersection, this is both a bullish defense line and a position where bears raise their knives high.

Volume Code: 24-hour trading volume has shrunk to $35.3 billion, low-volume rebounds = baiting, high-volume drops = real dumping.

Whale Movements: A giant whale sold $14.5 million in ETH last night, but another batch of institutions quietly bought below 3400 — the main force is playing 'surrounding and attacking'.

Two Major Bomb-level Signals Today

1. 3460~3480: Short-term life-and-death threshold

If it falls below with volume, it will trigger strong liquidation of $320 million in long positions, heading straight for the strong support at 3420.

Captain's Strategy: If the breakout pullback does not exceed 3500, directly target short positions with a goal of 3380!

2. 3565~3580: Breakthrough or baiting?

There is a liquidation pressure of $470 million in short positions here, if it breaks out with volume, it will trigger a 10% single-day surge.

Anti-routine Technique: Observe if MACD has a golden cross + if trading volume surges by $1 billion, otherwise it’s a false breakout.

Captain's Practical Mindset

Locking Position K-line Rules:

Long Signal: A 30-minute volume surge with a bullish candle stabilizes above 3560, and RSI turns up from the oversold zone.

Short Signal: 4-hour closing price below 3460 + ETH/BTC exchange rate drops below 0.052.

Retail Investor's Killer Technique:

Short Point Setting: Place limit short orders around 3580, stop loss at 3635, targeting those chasing rebounds.

Golden Pit Ambush: Buy in 3 batches below 3420, increase position every 50 dollars drop, stop loss at 3380.

Blood and Tears Warning

Trump + Powell's Rhetoric: Non-farm payroll data revisions, Fed interest rate cuts wavering, news can strike at any time — light position! Use stop loss!

Altcoin Risk: If ETH falls below 3400, SOL, BNB, and others will drop 15%+, avoid weak altcoins.

There is no absolute direction in the crypto world, only absolute rhythm —

When others are fearful during a crash, you place orders; when others FOMO during a surge, you take profits. Opportunities and risks coexist in the crypto space, stay vigilant, finding the right timing is key. There are no gods in the crypto world, only smart people who can read signals. The Captain's articles do not boast, do not paint illusions, but teach you practical survival skills. Follow @船长趋势 for daily strategies on board, know in advance.