(Bitcoin suddenly plummeted after breaking the key level of 65,000, with a total liquidation of 320 million dollars across the network! Is this an opportunity or a trap?)
1. The current market is staging a textbook-level long-short game
This morning, BTC flashed from 67,300 dollars to 62,800, with the total liquidation volume across the network hitting a new high in nearly two weeks. But please note: the ETH/BTC exchange rate rose against the trend by 0.8%, and USDT premium continues to maintain a positive premium, these details expose the true intentions of the main force!
Second, the three core logics of this round of market are undergoing qualitative changes
1. Federal Reserve liquidity valve: The latest reverse repo data from the New York Fed shows that the overnight funding pool has fallen to 482 billion dollars (a decrease of 12% compared to last month), which is more indicative than any positive news announcement
2. Hong Kong ETF fund flows: The Southern Eastern Bitcoin futures ETF saw a net purchase surge of 300% in a single week, the operating cycle of these institutional funds is at least at the quarterly level
3. On-chain data anomalies: The Bitcoin miner holding index suddenly surged to a yearly high, the last time this signal appeared was on the eve of the January rebound
3. Smart money is already betting
• Grayscale GBTC has seen a net inflow of funds for 3 consecutive days (the first time in 2023)
• Binance large transaction monitoring shows: At 3 AM, there were 15 buy orders of over 1,000 BTC concentrated in the range of 62,500-63,500
• Strange operations appeared in the options market: a certain institution simultaneously bought 25,000 call/put options expiring next week (a typical volatility arbitrage strategy)
4. The most fatal mistakes retail investors are likely to make
I see too many people at:
Treating the CME futures gap as a "certainty to be filled"
Operate contracts with a spot mindset (especially in full position mode)
Ignoring the "secondary disaster effect" of altcoins (remember that during the May crash, SOL fell 23% more than BTC)
5. My exclusive trading strategy
1. Spot positions: If it falls below 61,800, immediately activate the pyramid adding method (add 10% for every $500 decline)
2. Contract advice: When the BTC volatility index > 85, only trade straddle options
3. Altcoin selection: Focus on the top 20 tokens with a decline of less than BTC in the past 24 hours and an increase in trading volume
List of 3 low market cap coins set to explode next week
The next article will reveal: "How to predict price fluctuations 12 hours in advance using Coinbase premium data", follow Zeus!
Twelve years in the financial world, the exclusive secrets of a pioneer in the cryptocurrency space: Insight into the market, steady progress, pay attention to how Zeus teaches you to steadily increase value, with risks and opportunities coexisting in investment, blind operations are a major taboo in the cryptocurrency world!