#WLD /USDT (3–5x)
Direction: LONG
ENTRY: 0.9915
TARGETS: 1.0436 – 1.1285 – 1.2345 – 1.3931
STOP LOSS: 0.8800
🧠 2. Signal effectiveness (based on technical analysis)
Overall chart structure:
A pattern of 'narrowing descending wedge' is forming (bullish reversal pattern).
The price broke the upper boundary of the wedge and is consolidating above the level of 0.9915 → potential exit from the pattern.
Indicators:
RSI: 47.14 — neutral zone, there is growth potential, not overbought.
MACD crosses above the signal line → signal for trend change.
Parabolic SAR below the price → confirms upward momentum.
EMA (7, 21): price above them — local bullish signal.
EMA (100, 200): still above the current price → the global trend remains downward, but may reverse.
Conclusion:
The signal is technically promising:
There is a reversal pattern
Breakout of the resistance line
All indicators agree with upward movement
✅ Effectiveness: 82/100
(Confirmed by a breakout and signals, but the overall structure requires consolidation above 1.00+.)
📈 3. Probability of signal success
Considering:
Breakout of the wedge
Support from RSI and MACD
Transition to the phase of a possible trend
Assessment for reaching at least the second target (1.1285) is realistic if the momentum continues.
✅ Probability of success: 65%
(Good potential, especially against the backdrop of the wedge and MACD; will exceed 70% upon breaking EMA 100/200.)
📉 4. Probability of signal failure
The stop is quite deep (0.8800), and currently, the price is trading above the breakout level.
The risk of a pullback remains if a false breakout occurs and the price returns to the wedge.
⚠️ Probability of failure: 35%
(Moderate, especially if consolidation above $1 does not occur in the next few hours.)
🧾 Final conclusion:
✅ The signal is technically confirmed.
A reversal pattern exists (descending wedge), and a breakout upwards has already occurred.
Indicators (SAR, MACD, EMA 7/21) confirm bullish sentiment.
If it consolidates above $1.00 and volume increases, targets up to 1.1285–1.23 are quite achievable.
📌 Recommendation:
— Possible entry with partial profit-taking at the first/second target
— Or entry with a smaller lot and adding upon confirmation above EMA 100.
