Recently, SPK's K-line trend resembles a suspenseful movie, with dramatic ups and downs. On July 23, it surged like a rocket, with prices skyrocketing from 0.09 to 0.188, accompanied by a massive volume of 3.7 billion, tricking many retail investors into chasing high prices; but by July 24, it plummeted sharply from 0.188 to 0.091, trapping a large number of retail investors, while the dealer took the opportunity to reclaim chips. Now, SPK's price is stuck at 0.099, yet the dealer is secretly taking action.
First, calculate the dealer's 'cost account'. After pushing up and down, the dealer's average cost remains at 0.10-0.11, which is still higher than the current price. Clearly, the cost difference between the dealer and retail investors is minimal, and it is very likely that they will not lose money by pushing down.
Currently, the dealer is engaging in 'grinding to absorb chips'. It's like a cheating mahjong player, manipulating the K-line to create an 'electrocardiogram' between the range of 0.095 and 0.105, pushing down a bit when it rises, and pulling up a bit when it falls, aiming to shake off impatient retail investors. The daily trading volume of 300-500 million indicates that the dealer has not yet absorbed enough chips and wants to acquire more low-priced stocks through 'grinding'.
Key signals must focus on two points: if there is a sudden increase in volume, with transaction amounts breaking 800 million, and the price stabilizes above 0.11, that would be a signal to push up, and you can enter with light positions; if it falls below 0.092, it indicates that the dealer cannot control the market, and continued decline will lead to losses, at which point you need to exit quickly.
In the medium term, the probability of SPK rising is greater, but in the short term, we need to endure the 'grinding phase', hold steady, and wait for the dealer to reveal their cards. Do you think the dealer will push up or down next?
#SPK #美国加征关税 #加密市场回调
