In a recent tweet, Abs, host of Good Morning Crypto, made a bold statement to the XRP community, making a daring prediction about XRP, stating, "THE SUPPLY SHOCK HAS ARRIVED! THE 4-YEAR CYCLE IS DEAD!"

The post includes a video in which Abs shares a series of comprehensive developments that he believes signal the end of traditional market patterns and the beginning of a new phase led by institutional interest and regulatory transformation.

Price Volatility, Political Change, and Suppressed Momentum

Abs opens the episode by pointing out that XRP has reached unprecedented trading levels, particularly the recent weekly closing price around $3.25, the second highest in XRP's history. He claims that this significant move is due to a major shift in political leadership, alluding to the return of President Donald Trump and asserting that the cryptocurrency industry has seen more innovation in the first six months of Trump's term than in the previous four years.

The significant drop in XRP's price is also a focus of the broadcast. Abs reviewed the impact of the lawsuit from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), filed in December 2020, which he argues has slowed XRP's growth trajectory by nearly $15 billion. He contends that XRP would have achieved similar trading levels in 2021 without regulatory intervention. Abs notes that after the inflection point in November, XRP has shown renewed resilience by maintaining the $2 range, a behavior he claims has never been seen before.

Expected Price Targets and Supply Constraints

Looking ahead, Abs provides a price forecast that he describes as a minimum expectation, taking $4.48 as the lowest breakout target for XRP. Additional price levels such as $6.20, $8, and $9.13 have also been discussed. He believes these targets are within reach thanks to the current interest from institutions, the anticipated impact of the Transparency Act, and the increasing retail access.

Abs emphasizes that the supply shock is now a crucial factor, showing the limited amount of XRP on exchanges, combined with the expected influx of capital, could push the price of this asset well beyond double digits. He points to recent integration signals, including PayPal's upcoming integration, allowing cryptocurrency payments on nearly 100 assets, including XRP. PayPal's reach to 280 million users in the U.S. and 430 million users globally is seen as a major driver of widespread adoption.

Charles Hoskinson's Take on Market Structure

The video also features deep insights from Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson, who clearly stated that the traditional four-year market cycle is no longer relevant. According to Hoskinson, the future trajectory of digital assets will be determined by institutional participation, the tokenization of real-world assets, and regulatory clarity. He forecasts that the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies will exceed $10 trillion by the end of the current cycle, expected to last until 2026. Hoskinson criticizes the current pessimism in the market and notes that meaningful institutional investments have yet to begin.

ETF Growth and Institutional Demand for XRP

Abs also mentions Sal Gilbertie, CEO of Teucrium Trading and the issuer of the leveraged XRP ETF (XXRP). Gilbertie has confirmed significant investor interest in XRP, describing it as the most successful product of the company since its inception. He stated that hundreds of millions of dollars have been poured into the fund in just 16 weeks since its launch.

When asked why his company shifted from agricultural products to cryptocurrency, Gilbertie attributed it to the growing enthusiasm and unique opportunity to provide leverage for XRP derivative products.

He describes this change as akin to the early days of the Internet, indicating significant changes in business operations are underway. Gilbertie further speculates that XRP could see capital inflows of $10 to $20 billion, a scenario that Abs argues could push the price of this asset into triple digits due to limited exchange liquidity.

Government Expected Action and Ripple's Role

Another important point mentioned is the announcement of the first official U.S. cryptocurrency report, expected on July 30. According to Abs, this report could include the creation of a strategic cryptocurrency reserve fund, potentially including XRP. He also mentioned Ripple's acquisition of Hidden Road in 2025, a move he believes positions the company as a leader in blockchain-based payments. Abs stated that other leading brokerage firms would face competitive disadvantages without similar capabilities.

Abs asserts that the XRP community is not lagging in seizing opportunities. Instead, he claims the market has only just entered a new era shaped by institutional capital, regulatory certainty, and global acceptance. With the possibility of the Transparency Act being passed and continued momentum from key financial firms, Abs believes XRP is well-positioned for significant growth in the coming months.