"When the Federal Reserve Chairman speaks, the market either surges or crashes - tonight, a single word from Powell will determine whether August is a 'bull retracement' or 'bear invasion'!"

​​ Key Signals:​​

​​No Hope for Rate Cuts​​: July interest rates are definitely unchanged, but the probability of a rate cut in September has soared to 90%. If Powell releases dovish signals, BTC could spike to 125,000.

​​Whale Activity​​: Large holders have sold 42,000 BTC in the past week; 120,000 is the critical line between bulls and bears. Falling below 118,000 could trigger a $500 million liquidation.

​​ Monthly Strategy:​​

​​Spot Traders​​: Take profit in batches above 123,000, holding back to buy in the 105,000-110,000 range.

​​Contract Traders​​: Go long if it breaks 121,500, short if it falls below 118,000, with a strict 1% stop loss.

​​Risk Warning:​

August has traditionally been the 'ghost month' for the crypto market, with an average decline of 12% over the past five years. Beware of major players selling off on good news!

Still, the same saying: if you're still losing in the crypto circle, then one of the phrases I often say is: “It’s not that you can’t, it’s that your method is wrong.” This rolling recovery model I have refined is ready to share, but only with those who are seriously looking to turn things around. Please do not disturb unless sincere. I am @财月女神 . Bull markets may drop sharply, but only those who layout in advance can enjoy the rebound profits!