Tonight is an important data storm night, with multiple macro data points coinciding with the interest rate decision, market fluctuations may become significantly amplified:
8:15 PM - ADP Non-Farm Employment Change. A thermometer for the labor market, directly affecting short-term policy expectations.
8:30 PM - U.S. Q2 GDP. A core economic performance indicator; if strong, rate cut expectations may be delayed.
2:00 AM - FOMC Interest Rate Decision. High probability of maintaining the current interest rate, but need to pay attention to any dissenting votes.
2:30 AM - Powell Press Conference. The main event! Watch for any signals regarding an early rate cut in September.
Trading Reminder:
Today's market will enter a data-driven mode; regardless of bullish or bearish positions, one must control the pace and position size.
Large fluctuations do not equal great opportunities; blindly over-leveraging is equivalent to giving away money.
Tonight, it is advised to pay attention to unusual market movements. If Powell releases dovish signals, the market may rally in advance; otherwise, it will likely remain volatile until September's outcomes.
It's not that the market isn't strong; it's that you haven't grasped the rhythm. Another wave of significant market movement is coming tonight; just follow my lead and you'll be fine!
