#bitcoin 2025: Price increase momentum & $1 million scenario – Is it feasible?
Bitcoin has far exceeded all predictions by continuously reaching new peaks in 2025. From institutional cash flow, macro policies to technology, all are creating an unprecedented picture. But can Bitcoin advance to the $1 million milestone as many experts predict?
1. Price increase momentum of $BTC in 2025
Spot Bitcoin ETF: At the beginning of 2024, ETF funds like BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust were officially launched. By mid-2025, ETFs in the US recorded a net inflow of $14.8 billion, with BlackRock attracting $1.3 billion in just 2 days. This is a turning point that helps Bitcoin become a mainstream asset in the portfolios of large institutions.
Government policy: In March 2025, President Donald Trump signed a decree establishing the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Fund with 200,000 BTC. This move not only bolstered investor confidence but also affirmed that Bitcoin is gradually becoming a 'strategic asset.'
Crypto Week event 7/2025: The explosive enthusiasm in Washington D.C. pushed Bitcoin's price to a record level of $123,166.
2. $1 million Bitcoin – Dream or reality?
To reach the $1 million milestone, Bitcoin needs many synergistic factors.
Scarce supply: Only 21 million BTC, similar to digital gold.
Institutional cash flow: Strong participation from Wall Street increases legitimacy.
Adoption potential: Currently, only 6.8% of the global population (~560 million people) own crypto, leaving significant room for growth.
FOMO mentality: 67% of crypto investors enter the market due to profit expectations, creating waves of continued buying.
3. Who believes in this scenario?
Cathie Wood (ARK Invest): Predicts Bitcoin could reach $1.5 million by 2030.
Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy): Believes that Bitcoin will reach $1 million if institutions hold 10% of their reserves.
Robert Kiyosaki: Views Bitcoin as 'digital gold' and also bets on the $1 million milestone.
4. Conditions for Bitcoin to reach $1 million
Institutional capital flow: A market capitalization exceeding $21 trillion is needed, larger than gold.
Global adoption: 20–40% of the population (~1.6–3.2 billion people) use Bitcoin.
Clear legal framework: Laws like the GENIUS Act or Clarity Act 2025 must build trust.
Technology infrastructure: The Lightning Network needs to expand to support fast and cheap transactions.
5. Potential risks
Despite the great potential, Bitcoin still faces many challenges:
Speculative nature: Bitcoin's price heavily depends on sentiment, easily creating a 'pyramid-like' effect – later entrants pay for earlier ones.
Quantum computers: There is a risk of breaking elliptic curve algorithms, threatening 4 million BTC (~25% of the supply).
Transition to post-quantum cryptography: Requires a network-wide effort, which may take about 76 days to upgrade.
6. Conclusion
$1 million Bitcoin is no longer a fantasy, but to achieve it, the market needs massive institutional capital, a transparent legal framework, and superior security technology. This could be a historic opportunity, but it comes with significant risks.
