ALT SEASON

Fed Decision Probability

Markets overwhelmingly expect no rate cut at tomorrow’s meeting. According to CME’s FedWatch tool:

• 96–97% probability that the Fed will keep rates unchanged at 4.25%–4.50%

• Just 2–3% chance of a 25 bp cut tomorrow

Later meetings carry higher expectations:

• ~70% probability of a cut by September 17, 2025

• ~81% or higher by year end 2025

Why Rate Cuts Matter for Crypto

A Fed rate cut is often a catalyst for crypto markets—especially altcoins—due to these impacts:

• Increases liquidity, lowers borrowing costs

• Encourages investors to seek higher-yielding assets beyond Bitcoin

• Historically, rate cut cycles have coincided with crypto bull runs and altcoin seasons.

Likelihood of Alt Season Immediately After Tomorrow

Given today's market probabilities:

• The odds of a surprise rate cut tomorrow are very low (≈ 2–3%), so immediate altseason trigger risk is minimal.

• Even if a surprise happens, such a cut would likely only be 0.25%, so the immediate liquidity impact may be limited.

• Alt seasons usually follow a broader easing cycle, not just a single cut. Investors typically wait for multiple cuts and clearer macro signals.

Nevertheless, you cannot omit the possibility of surge and gain in alr coins.

$CHILLGUY (best for short term long with proper risk management)

$USUAL (best for long term)

$FARTCOIN (best for mid term)

#CryptoClarityAct #AltSeasonComing #speculation #US-EUTradeAgreement #FedMeeting