1. Current price

Analytics at the beginning of July showed Toncoin at around ~$2.98 USDT, with the month-end expected within $2.70–3.40 USDT

On July 7, there was a breakout below the descending triangle line, and the token crossed the $3.00 mark potentially opening paths for growth.

Thus, as of July 28, the price is most likely in the range of $3.00–3.20 USDT.

2. Technical context

The market #TON is in a consolidation phase for weeks — previously, the range was $2.65–3.12, with a POC level of about $2.78–2.90 USDT

A breakout above $3.00 has already been recorded, and a breakthrough above $3.12 could be an indicator of further upward movement.

3. Foundation and on-chain activity

Significant spread of #USDT🔥🔥🔥 as Jetton in the TON network: over the last 6 months, the volume of USDT has risen from $130 million to over $500 million, even $1 billion in transaction amounts over a certain period.

Accumulation by large players (whales): their share of TON tokens has increased to ~28%, while volumes on exchanges have significantly decreased — a signal of long-term holding.

Enhanced integration with Telegram: exclusive partnership, launch of TON Wallet, #NFT​ initiatives, all payments in Telegram are conducted in TON — which increases real demand for the token.

4. Development scenarios

Bullish: closing above $3.12–3.15 (increased volumes) could trigger a rally to $4.20–5.60 USDT in the coming weeks

Sideways: if the range of $2.70–3.15 continues to hold — the market remains in accumulation, preparing for the next impulse.

Bearish: closing below $2.65–2.50 could open the way for testing the $2.35–2.40 USDT zone

🧠 Conclusion

As of July 28, 2025, TON/USDT is balanced: a breakout above $3.00 has strengthened optimism, but without significant volume / closing outside the key range — the major trend has not yet been confirmed. With positive developments — the key milestone is $3.12–3.15, potential for growth to $4–5+ USDT. Otherwise — risk of testing lower supports down to $2.50–2.40.

This analysis is based on a synthesis of technical dynamics, on-chain data, and fundamental development of the TON ecosystem — with an emphasis on TON's determination to rely on significant Telegram integration and USDT activity.$TON