Crypto Market Update – July 26, 2025

Key developments for XRP—and why you can’t afford to tune out.

Insider Moves Spark Volatility

Ripple $XRP

Co-founder Chris Larsen transferred $175 M of XRP to exchanges, sending the token down 13.65% and triggering over $100 M in long liquidations. By day’s end, XRP stabilized at $3.21, holding support between $3.00–$3.10 and eyeing resistance near $3.65. History shows these insider shake‑outs can prime the market for a rebound.

ETF Speculation Heats Up

Odds of an XRP $XRP ETF approval by October 2025 now sit at 75–95%. With firms like VanEck and 21Shares filing—and more than 11 institutions managing over $240 B in assets lining up—analysts target $4 in the short term and up to $15 in a bull case. A spot ETF would unleash trillions in capital, shifting XRP toward mainstream adoption.

RLUSD’s Supply‑Shrinking Surge

Ripple’s stablecoin RLUSD has reached a $500 M market cap in six months. Each RLUSD transaction burns XRP, tightening supply and potentially fueling future rallies while reinforcing XRP’s bridge‑currency role.

Macro Pulse Checks

Bitcoin: Trading near $117 K (+1.5%) but under pressure after Galaxy Digital’s $9 B sell‑off.

Altcoins: Solana $SOL

at $186 eyes $250 on ETF buzz; XRP vies for rotation flows.

Regulation: Sen. Warren likens crypto lobbying to “pre‑2008 excess,” underscoring policy risks.

Technical Roadmap

A 2017‑style pre‑bull‑run pattern hints at upside, bolstered by fresh institutional treasuries. Yet overbought RSI and Fed rate decisions pose pullback risks. A decisive close above $3.20 on strong volume would confirm the next breakout, with Fibonacci targets at $4.20+.