🧐 Will the Price of $BTC BTC Drop?

In the short term, the potential for a correction is still open, although the medium to long-term trend remains bullish:

1. Current Market Conditions

• As of July 25, 2025, BTC has dropped about 2.9% to a level of around $115,000–$116,000 following a post-rally decline. This pressure indicates liquidation pressure and negative sentiment, causing several altcoins to also fall  .

• According to Citi analysts, demand from spot ETF inflows is now the main driver of BTC prices, with end-of-year price estimates ranging:

• Base case: $135,000

• Bull case: $199,000

• Bear case: $64,000, if macro conditions drastically worsen .

2. Brief Technical Analysis

• Many technical analysts like CryptoRank and CoinDCX highlight important support levels in the $104,000–$106,000 area. If this support holds strong, the bias remains upward.

• Short-term resistance is in the $108,000–$110,000 zone, and a breakout above could open the path to $114,500–$125,000 .

3. Analyst Expectations and 2025 Projections

• Some key predictions:

• Tom Lee (Fundstrat) mentions a potential $250,000 by the end of 2025 .

• Gerry O’Shea (Hashdex) estimates BTC could reach $140,000 this year .

• Economic Times mentions a potential bull scenario up to $250,000, if the combination of inflation, institutional adoption, and macro context remains supportive .

• Conversely, the most pessimistic prediction from Citi shows a downside to $64,000 if ETF inflows slow and macro conditions drastically worsen .

4. Significance of US Regulations

• Recent crypto regulations like the Genius Act, Clarity Act, and Anti-CBDC Act create a clear legal framework in the US, supporting adoption and strengthening long-term sentiment for BTC .

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📉 Risk Scale – When Could BTC Drop?

• If BTC fails to hold support around $115,000, there is a risk of retesting the $110,000–$112,000 area or even lower to around $104,000–$106,000.

• However, if support is strong and ETF inflows remain high,