🔍 LATEST OUTLOOK ON FED POLICY
Rates currently sit at 4.25%–4.50%, a level the Federal Reserve has maintained since June 2025, with unanimous support at the June meeting.
Fed projections continue to anticipate two 0.25% rate cuts by year-end, potentially easing the benchmark to around 3.75%–4.00%.
Major forecasters—including J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs—expect the first rate cut around September, with some dissenting opinions suggesting possible delay until December.
⚠️ WHAT COULD PUSH A CUT TO AUGUST?
Moderating inflation and signs of labor market softening would be the primary triggers.
Tariff-related uncertainty, highlighted by Fed officials like Austan Goolsbee, may delay any earlier moves.
🎯 WILL THERE BE A CUT IN AUGUST?
Highly unlikely. Analysts generally project rate cuts starting in September—August is not on the calendar.
Financial conditions are loose, inflation remains above target (~3%) and unemployment steady near 4.5%. These factors support a patient posture from the Fed.
🚀 KEY TAKEAWAYS
The first Fed rate cut is expected in September or later, not August.
Any decision will depend heavily on ongoing inflation and labor market data.
Political pressure—like President Trump’s vocal demands—is unlikely to override the Fed’s caution.
✅ IN BRIEF
If you're hearing whispers about a rate cut in August 2025, it's more hype than likelihood. Markets and analysts overwhelmingly favor September or later for the Fed’s first move, and no cut in August is firmly in the offing—unless economic data drastically shifts.
Stay tuned to key inflation and jobs numbers in the coming weeks. 📊🔥
💥💥 Soft Staking on Binance
Binance Soft Staking lets you earn daily passive income by simply holding crypto in your spot wallet — no lock-up, full flexibility, zero fees, and rewards on top coins like $ADA, $SOL, and $DOT. 💸📈 #SoftStaking
🔥🔥 Trade on Binance new Listed Tokens for 10X return 👇
🚀 WCT TOKEN $WCT
🚀 Chainbase Token $C
🚀 LA TOKEN $LA
🚀 Huma TOKEN
🚀 Era Token
