Current situation (July 25, 2025):
- Price: ~0.36–0.38 USD (based on current data, CoinMarketCap, Binance).
- Context: SXP is the native token of Solar Network, an L1 blockchain created in 2021 based on Swipe. The platform focuses on decentralized finance (DeFi), payments, and asset tokenization with high scalability (up to 10,000 TPS) and low fees. Market capitalization: ~225–240 million USD (ranked ~200–250). Trading volume: ~110–400 million USD/24h. Circulating supply: ~628.5 million SXP, max: unlimited (inflation is minimal). The price has fallen ~93% from ATH (5.79 USD, May 2021), but has risen ~6–23% over the past 24 hours (@Binance, @BaskanTeknik_K). TVL: ~50–100 million USD. The positive outlook on X is linked to technical analysis and bullish momentum (@CryptoJournaal).
Technical forecast for 2026 (based on analytics):
- Prices:
- Optimistic: 0.50–2.06 USD (growth of 40–450%) in a bullish market and DeFi growth.
- Neutral: 0.41–1.37 USD (growth of 15–280%).
- Pessimistic: 0.15–0.35 USD in case of correction or regulatory restrictions.
- Levels:
- Support: 0.33–0.35 USD, 0.18–0.20 USD.
- Resistance: 0.38–0.41 USD, 0.50–0.60 USD.
- Trend: Bullish. The daily chart shows bullish momentum (RSI ~60, 50 MA above 200 MA, breakout resistance at 0.366 USD). The weekly MACD is upward, RSI ~45–60. A breakout at 0.41 USD may signal growth to 0.50–0.60 USD, a drop below 0.33 USD indicates correction.
Fundamentals:
- Growth drivers:
- Ecosystem: Solar supports DeFi (SolarSwap), payments (Solar Wallet), asset tokenization. Integration with Binance Pay, Chainlink, Solana.
- Partnerships: Binance (HODLer Airdrop), MEXC, Bybit, KuCoin, Coinbase. Investments from Animoca Brands, Binance Labs.
- Tokenomics: Fee burning (50% of transactions), staking (APR ~3–7%). Low inflation due to managed issuance.
- Community: Positive outlook on X (@CryptoJournaal, @BaskanTeknik_K), expectations of growth to $0.40–0.60 upon breaking 0.36 USD. Technical analysis indicates a 'cup with handle' (@Binance).
- BTC halving (2024): supports altcoins in 2025–2026.
- Innovations: Solar Bridge for cross-chain transactions, support for ESG (sustainability, solar energy).
- Risks:
- Regulation: SEC may classify SXP as a security.
- Volatility: low capitalization (~240 million USD) vulnerable to whales.
- Competition: Solana, Polygon, Arbitrum, Ripple in DeFi/payments.
- Pessimism: WalletInvestor predicts a drop to $0.15–0.20 USD by 2026, considering SXP a bad investment.
- Technical risks: network failures or low dApps activity.
Recommendation:
- For investors: Buy on correction to 0.33–0.35 USD, stop below 0.18 USD. Target: 0.50–1.50 USD. Staking (APR ~3–7%) for income.
- For traders: Buy on breakout at 0.41 USD, target 0.50–0.60 USD. Sell below 0.33 USD, target 0.18–0.20 USD.
- Risk: 0.5–1% of deposit due to high volatility, low liquidity, and regulatory risks.
Risks: Regulation, competition, whale manipulation, decline in DeFi activity, drop in BTC/ETH.
