📉 How to Track if a Bear Market Has Started in Crypto

1️⃣ Price Action & Technical Indicators

A bear market often begins with consistent lower highs and lower lows on Bitcoin and Ethereum charts. If BTC breaks key support levels like the 200-day moving average or loses psychological zones like $30k or $20k with strong volume, it’s a major warning sign. Technical indicators like RSI falling below 40 or the MACD flipping bearish also confirm momentum shift. Altcoins tend to bleed harder even on small BTC drops — an early signal of weakening market confidence.

2️⃣ Market Sentiment & On-Chain Behavior

Look at the sentiment indicators. If the Fear & Greed Index stays in extreme fear for weeks, or good news fails to push prices up, the market is losing bullish energy. On-chain data such as rising stablecoin inflows to exchanges or long-term holders beginning to sell are also bearish. Low social media engagement and declining Google Trends interest in crypto keywords can signal falling retail interest — another bearish clue.

3️⃣ Liquidity, Volume & Global Events

Bear markets are marked by lower overall volume and thinning liquidity across exchanges. If daily volume drops below $30B for BTC or altcoin volume dries up, it shows disinterest and low buyer strength. Also, keep an eye on global events — regulatory crackdowns, interest rate hikes, or stock market crashes often trigger or deepen crypto bear markets. Always stay prepared with an exit strategy and risk management plan.

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