Arief Hartono
Crypto Observer & Active Crypto Platform User

Ready to explode to $140,000?

Here's a brief prediction for Bitcoin from July 21 to July 22, 2025, based on the current real price (July 21, 2025, 07:19 WIB around $117,022):

šŸ“ˆ Sentiment and Background

  • Bitcoin has crossed the $120Kā€“$123K level in recent days, driven by a surge in institutional flows & regulations, including progress from the ā€œCrypto Weekā€ in the US Bankrate+14investors.com+14Cryptonews+14.

  • However, several analysts warn of a local peak around $123.1K, which could trigger a short-term pullback to the $116Kā€“$117K zone

šŸ” Daily Prediction

  • July 21, 2025 price range at $115,000 ā€“ $119,000 with the note: Consolidation in the support zoneā€”a minor bounce is possible if volume remains strong.

  • July 22, 2025 price range at $118,000 ā€“ $122,000 with the note: Potential breakout to \$120K+ if no new negative sentiment arises.

  • Technical models like Elliott Wave & triangle patterns suggest a "coil then pop" scenario ā†’ potential breakout above $125K if momentum remains strong CryptonewsLiteFinance.

  • On-chain indicators (CryptoQuant STH MVRV) provide additional upward room of about 20ā€“25%, meaning it could reach $140K by the end of July

šŸ“Œ Driving Factors & Risks

  1. Regulations in the US: The GENIUS Act, CLARITY Act, and CBDC ban by the House of Representatives have boosted institutional confidence, but implementation details are still lengthy Investopedia+5Barron's+5investors.com+5.

  2. Institutional Capital Flow: ETFs and companies are adding significant exposure to Bitcoin up to billions USD E24.

  3. Technical risks: Potential local correction of 6ā€“10% if resistance at $123Kā€“$125K fails to break Cryptonews.

  4. Market sentiment: Fear & Greed Index shows "Greed", driving higher volatility

šŸ”® Prediction Summary (July 21ā€“22, 2025)

  • July 21: Prices likely to move sideways in the $115Kā€“$119K range, controlled by support around $116Kā€“$117K.

  • July 22: If support holds and regulations are positive, a breakout to $120Kā€“$122K is possible. However, a breakdown below support could lower prices to the $111Kā€“$114K range (CME gap) b24.am+6Mitrade+6CoinDCX+6CoinDCX+1LiteFinance+1.

  • Note: The trend this week is still bullish. The mid to late July target could reach $125Kā€“$140K, depending on major momentum and reactions to regulations & ETFs

šŸ›”ļø Short Strategy Advice

  • Day-traders: Consider shorting at the upper edge ($120Kā€“$123K) if signs of weakness are found, target $116Kā€“$117K; then rebound if there is support rejection.

  • Swing-traders: Discussing potential duration by the end of July: long at $116K with a target between $130Kā€“$140K, while monitoring volatility & regulatory sentiment.

Please note, this prediction is based on technical models and current market conditions, but Bitcoin is highly volatileā€”high risks remain. Use as a reference, not as definitive investment advice šŸ˜Š

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