Desite Bitcoin’s strong bullish momentum in recent weeks, crypto finance firm Matrixport is sounding a cautious note. In its latest “Matrix on Target” report, the firm suggests that BTC may face a short-term correction — even as broader macroeconomic conditions remain favorable.
📉 Short-Term Correction Ahead?
Matrixport analysts note that although BTC $BTC
has climbed steadily from $16,000 over the past 18 months, several key indicators now suggest a pause or pullback may be imminent.
🔹 Support Range: $106,000–$108,000
🔹 Target Resistance: $122,000
🔹 Timeframe: Possible consolidation in the next 1–2 months
While the long-term trend remains intact, the report highlights that technical momentum is weakening, pointing toward a healthy cooling-off phase before any attempt to break above $122,000.
⚠️ RSI Signals Overbought Territory
Technically speaking, Bitcoin is showing signs of being overbought:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has climbed above 70 — often a red flag for short-term corrections.
Matrixport suggests that a pullback to the $106K–$108K zone could act as a springboard for the next leg up.
This correction, they argue, would be part of a healthy market cycle, rather than the end of the bull run.
🏦 Macroeconomic Winds Are Favorable — For Now
The firm also acknowledges that U.S. macroeconomic conditions remain supportive:
June inflation fell to 2.8%, below expectations
Hopes are rising for a Federal Reserve rate cut
While these developments are buoying investor sentiment, Matrixport cautions that “over-optimism” could introduce downside risk, especially if the Fed delays action.
🗓️ The July 30 FOMC meeting could bring signals, but September remains the more realistic window for an actual rate cut.
⚡ Watch for Technical Patterns: Blow-Off Tops & Double Tops?
The report concludes with a warning: rapid price spikes can lead to classic technical traps, such as:
Blow-off tops — sharp highs followed by rapid declines
Double tops — potential reversal formations that can signal trend exhaustion
🔍 Final Take
While Matrixport believes Bitcoin’s long-term bullish structure remains solid, short-term caution is warranted. A correction could set the stage for stronger gains — but only if support at $106K holds.
📢 What do you think? Will BTC pull back before pushing to $122K? Or are bulls ready to break through resistance?
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