BTC could remain bullish through year-end—defying historical norms.


In a bold move shaking up crypto market dynamics, Trump Media & Technology Group—linked to former President Donald Trump$TRUMP

—has revealed a $2 billion Bitcoin investment, sending a powerful signal to investors: this market cycle might not play by the old rules.


Halving Cycle Wisdom Put to the Test


Traditionally, Bitcoin operates on a four-year halving cycle, where mining rewards are slashed by 50%. The most recent halving in April 2024 reduced rewards to 3.125 BTC per block, historically triggering a post-halving rally followed by a peak 12–18 months later—then a steep correction. This pattern played out in 2013, 2017, and 2021.


Based on that logic, many expected the current bull run to top out sometime in 2025.


But Trump Media’s unprecedented BTC purchase is forcing traders to reconsider. With Bitcoin trading near $117,000, and major institutional inflows growing, the historical timing of a peak may no longer apply.


Why This Cycle Might Be Different


The biggest wildcard? A pro-crypto administration in Washington. Trump has vocally supported digital assets, and his return to office has coincided with increased legislative efforts, such as the GENIUS Stablecoin Act, signaling regulatory tailwinds for the crypto sector.


This isn’t just politics—it’s strategy. The Trump team is betting on a loosening monetary policy. Trump has repeatedly slammed the Federal Reserve and Chair Jerome Powell for keeping interest rates high, which he claims are stifling economic growth.


Analysts say Trump Media’s Bitcoin allocation is a bet on lower rates, a weaker U.S. dollar, and a more liquid financial environment—all bullish conditions for risk assets like BTC.



“No one drops $2 billion on a volatile asset like Bitcoin unless they expect a regime shift,” said macro strategist EndGame Macro on X.


Wall Street Signals Support


Further validating the thesis, Goldman Sachs anticipates three rate cuts in 2025, beginning as early as September, provided inflation remains tame. Lower rates would increase market liquidity and risk appetite, potentially extending crypto’s rally past traditional cycle timelines.


If these expectations hold, Bitcoin could remain strongly bid well into next year—challenging the assumption that every halving cycle must end in a predictable bust.



Key Takeaway: Trump Media’s $2 billion BTC acquisition, paired with favorable regulatory signals and possible Fed rate cuts, may flip the halving-cycle script—pointing to a new era of macro-driven crypto bull markets.#BTCvsETH #StrategyBTCPurchase #Trump