💡Core Contradiction:
✅ Daily RSI hits 98.1! Historical extreme warning
✅ But 4-hour moving averages are in a bullish arrangement (3427 > 3359 > 3274)
✅ After breaking through the previous weekly high of 3588 with increased volume, 5-minute volume plummeted by 99%
🌍 Macro Triple Set:
1️⃣ Trump’s risk-averse effect continues: The correlation between ETH and gold skyrockets to 0.78
2️⃣ Nvidia's market value breaks 4 trillion $, attracting funds, but the Nasdaq rose by +1.4% last night
3️⃣ US consumer confidence hits a new low for 2023! PCE data locks in policy space
⏰ Today's Script:
🌞 Asian Session:
- Key support at 3520 (EMA8 + psychological level)
- If RSI falls below 70, watch for 3480 (daily EMA13)
🌙 European and American Sessions:
- Focus on 20:30 Fed's Bullard speech
- Three possibilities 👇
🍀 30% rise to 3600 (requires US stocks + dollar index cooperation)
⚖️ 60% oscillation between 3500-3580 (forming a doji)
⚠️ 10% drop below 3480 triggers a long liquidation → 3420
💣 Nuclear-level Risk:
❗ Binance ETH funding rate 0.25%/8h (bullish leverage peak of the year)
❗ CME options maximum pain point at 3500 (volatility warning)
🎯 Operational Suggestions:
- For holders, it is recommended to set a trailing stop loss at 3520
- For those without positions, wait:
• Breakout at 3600 to chase long (with 1% stop loss)
• Or short if 3480 breaks
✨ Key Data Visualization:
【Daily RSI 98.1】 vs 【4H Moving Averages Bullish Arrangement】
【Trading Volume Soars 218%】 vs 【5-Minute Volume -99%】
💎 Anti-Leverage Statement:
The market has risks! This article is only an objective analysis, not investment advice~ The highly volatile ETH is more suitable for players with strong risk tolerance
