A tweet set off the crypto world. James Wynn, the "God of Gamblers" who once lost $100 million in a single day, made another crazy prediction that the market is about to experience a dramatic change.
News:
According to BlockBeats, on July 16, the well-known whale trader James Wynn released a major tweet, claiming that Bitcoin will hit its historical peak of $145,000 at the end of July, and then plummet to $110,000.
Immediately afterwards, an epic altcoin bull market will break out in August and September, and after the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates in the fourth quarter, Bitcoin will embark on its ultimate sprint - heading straight for $240,000!
Lao Zhu's analysis:
Wynn’s profiteering script: From the collapse of BTC to the fatal temptation of the alt-season carnival
Wynn's predictions are not isolated views, but are built on three major market turning points:
Bitcoin has peaked in the short term: Technical analysis shows that BTC has formed a top at $123,000. CPI inflation data triggered a surge in the US dollar, causing Bitcoin to plummet to $115,700 in a single day, liquidating $550 million in longs.
The rotation of funds in altcoins has started: Ethereum broke through $3,150 against the trend, and the ETH/BTC exchange rate soared to 0.0266 (a four-month high), with institutional funds pouring in more than $1 billion in a single week. On-chain data confirmed that the BTC inventory on exchanges fell to a historical low of 2.12 million, and whales were selling BTC and turning to altcoin assets.
The Fed’s rate cut has triggered the ultimate bull market: the fourth quarter rate cut has become a market consensus, and the liquidity flood will push BTC to the range of 160,000-240,000 US dollars. Standard Chartered Bank simultaneously called out a target price of 200,000 US dollars, forming a strong evidence.
Wynn's gambler's creed: From the $100 million liquidation to the truth about the $240,000 boast
James Wynn is by no means a traditional analyst. Rather, he is a “casino whale” addicted to leverage.
In May 2025, he bet $1.25 billion on BTC long orders with 40x leverage, predicting that "it will rise to $121,000 next week"
In early July, he lost 949 BTC (worth $99 million) in a single day due to the $105,000 liquidation line, and his wallet balance was only $11,000.
He openly admitted: "I am just gambling and the loss may be zero at any time."
Now he throws out another 145,000 predictions, and behind it is the gambler's logic of a Jedi comeback:
If BTC plummets to 110,000 after reaching a high, the high-leverage shorts will be slaughtered; and after the start of the altcoin season, high-risk assets such as Meme coins and AI tokens may replicate BONK's myth of getting rich quickly with a 945% weekly increase.
Countdown to the nuclear explosion of the copycat season: 9 major signals reveal that the great migration of funds has begun
Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) is about to collapse, and an epic alt season is about to begin:
Technical death penalty: BTC.D monthly RSI hits a record high, MACD falls into the bear market, and the key trend line has been broken;
ETF blood-sucking effect: Ripple, Dogecoin, and Solana spot ETFs are about to be listed, and hundreds of billions of institutional funds are diverting altcoins;
Liquidation density alert: The short liquidation risk of AVAX, LINK and other currencies exceeds 90%, and the surge engine has entered the ignition state;
The historical cycle repeats itself: when BTC.D falls below 60%, the market value of altcoins will double in a single month (refer to the surge from 1.3 trillion to 2.7 trillion in 2021).
Lao Zhu suggested:
Wynn's script contains three hidden dangers:
Leveraged meat grinder: CPI data has proved that the specter of inflation can instantly evaporate $550 million of long positions. If PPI data exceeds expectations again, the $115,000 support level may collapse;
Regulatory Black Swan: The U.S. House of Representatives urgently halted the "Crypto Week" legislation, and the implementation of regulation may be suddenly cut short;
Altcoin Battle Royale: The long liquidation risk of currencies such as RUNE and AAVE reaches 89%, and leveraged players who follow the trend may become cannon fodder.
The real opportunity belongs to the awake ones:
On-chain data shows that whales are buying the bottom in the $116,000-117,000 range.
After Ethereum broke through $3,150, the $3,500 target channel has opened.
Oversold altcoins (RSI<30) such as XRP and ADA have accumulated momentum for a rebound.
Lao Zhu concluded:
Institutions swallow ETH
Bit Digital officially announced this morning that it spent 67.3 million US dollars to increase its ETH holdings, directly exchanging all of the company's BTC for ETH, and its holdings exceeded 100,000 coins (worth over 300 million US dollars).
ETH spot ETF sucked in 1 billion U.S. dollars in a single week, and giants such as BlackRock and PayPal were frantically buying up the market. The total locked-in stablecoins on the chain soared to 137.4 billion U.S. dollars (a 33% surge in three months).
35.6M ETH (29.5%) locked in pledge, a record high! Deflationary pressure is full, equivalent to burning a yacht every day
Policy dark horse: GENIUS Act is a life-or-death situation this week:
If it is passed, the US stablecoin will be legalized, and traditional banks will move trillions of dollars into the ETH ecosystem! Ryan, a big shot in the industry, said: "If the bill is passed, ETH will take off."
However, the EU MiCA regulation will be implemented in Q3, and non-compliant stablecoins may be strangled (for example, USDS has fallen 7% this month), and short-term pain is inevitable.
CPI data hidden dangers:
Last night, the US CPI rose by 2.7% year-on-year, exceeding expectations. Clothing and furniture soared by 0.7% due to Trump's tariffs. The specter of inflation has resurrected! Goldman Sachs warned: "A delay in raising interest rates will wipe out leveraged investors in the cryptocurrency world."
As a result, the entire network was liquidated with a total of 493 million US dollars, 130,000 leeks were buried, and the long army accounted for 80% (those who greedily took advantage of the leverage paid the tuition again)
Core market signal (must watch tonight)
Can the ETH/BTC exchange rate stabilize at 0.027 → The official launch button for the alt season;
US PPI data will be released at 20:30 → If it exceeds expectations again, be careful of a second spike;
Trump's new tariff trend → This madman calls for "100% tariffs", the global supply chain collapses and the cryptocurrency world dies with it
Lao Zhu’s operating tips for today: Bitcoin depends on CPI, Ethereum depends on the GENIUS Act - policies are bullish as long as they last, and a pullback is a gift!
Lao Zhu has already increased his holdings of ETH. Follow the Crypto Lao Zhu official account and Lao Zhu will help you see through the ups and downs of the market!
