Don't Count Your Eggs Before They Hatch—A Hard Lesson for Traders

I'll be honest with you—at the beginning of my trading journey, I made the classic mistake. I would open a position, see it slightly profitable, and before the trade was fully underway, I was already starting to count how much profit I would make. My confidence soared, and I began planning my next move as if the money was already in my pocket. Then... boom. The market reversed, and all that excitement turned into regret.

Sounds familiar?

This is what happens when we count our eggs before they hatch. In trading, nothing is guaranteed—a good setup doesn't always mean a winning trade. The market doesn't care about our hopes; it does what it wants. That's why discipline and patience are more important than thinking positively.

Candlestick Lesson: Hammer

Take the hammer candlestick, for example. This is a strong signal that often indicates buyers are stepping in after a downtrend. You see one forming and think, 'There it is! A reversal is happening! Time to go all in.' But here’s the problem—a hammer alone is not enough.

Wait for Confirmation: The market needs to prove itself. A bullish follow-through candle after a hammer is what gives it weight. Jumping in too early is like assuming an egg will hatch just because it looks good from the outside.

Manage Risk: Even if the setup looks perfect, always use a stop-loss. I've seen great hammers fail and trap overconfident traders.

Reality Check

Every trade is just a probability, not a promise. Instead of fantasizing about potential gains, focus on executing your strategy with discipline. Let the trade unfold, confirm your setup, and protect your capital. Because in trading, the only thing worse than losing a win is assuming you've won too soon—only to watch the market humble you.

Trade smart, stay patient, and never count your profits before they are real.

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