Big Pie Weekend Thoughts and Operations (2025.7.12-13)

A drop is an opportunity, a massive surge of 130,000 can be imagined!!!

◦ Yesterday, the net inflow of the U.S. BTC spot ETF was $1.029 billion

◦ Policy favor: The Trump administration is promoting the establishment of a "national strategic cryptocurrency reserve," the "GENIUS Stablecoin Act" is about to be implemented, and the regulatory framework is improving to attract institutions to enter the market.

◦ Macroeconomic environment: Expectations for Fed rate cuts are rising, the dollar is weakening, pushing funds towards high-risk assets.

Currently in a sideways adjustment after a massive surge, operations can be conducted within the range.

BTC market share is about to decline, altcoins are entering a frenzied surge mode!!!

Short-term short strategy

• Entry: 119,000-119,500

• Targets: First target 118,000 Second target 116,500

• Stop loss: Above 120,000

Short-term long strategy

• Entry: 115,500-116,000

• Targets: First target 117,100 Second target 118,500

• Stop loss: Below 104,800

Risk warnings and precautions

· Position management: Recent volatility has increased, it is recommended that the position per trade does not exceed 5% of total capital, reserving 30% cash to respond to extreme market conditions.

· Stop-loss discipline: Strictly set stop losses to avoid holding positions.

· Take-profit strategy: Take profit in batches at resistance/support levels to reduce positions by 50%, and let the remaining position bet on a breakout.

Risk warning: This article is for market analysis only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency is highly volatile, please make rational decisions. #比特币走势分析 $BTC