#趋势交易策略 ### **Trend Trading Strategy (Core Logic)**

#### **1. Trend Determination**

- **Technical Tools**:

- Moving Average System (e.g., EMA20/50 bullish arrangement)

- Trend Lines/Channels (connect high and low points)

- MACD Histogram (expansion above the zero axis)

- **Volume-Price Confirmation**: An uptrend should be accompanied by increasing volume, while a downtrend requires a breakout with increased volume.

#### **2. Entry Rules**

- **Follow the Trend**:

- Uptrend: Go long when the price pulls back to the moving average or trend line without breaking (e.g., BTC pulls back to EMA50 and rebounds).

- Downtrend: Go short when the price rebounds to resistance but fails to rise further.

- **Breakout Positioning**: After the price makes a new high/low, confirm the pullback to add positions.

#### **3. Risk Management**

- **Stop Loss**: Set at 1-3% outside the recent swing low (long) or high (short).

- **Take Profit**: Ladder-style exit (e.g., reduce 50% of the position at the trend line resistance point, and track the remaining with a stop loss).

- **Leverage**: ≤3x, to avoid liquidation from extreme volatility.

#### **4. Applicable Scenarios**

- **One-sided Market**: Bitcoin Bull Market/Bear Market Main Wave.

- **Avoid Scenarios**: Sideways Consolidation Period (frequent false signals).

**Core Discipline**: **“The trend is your friend until it ends”** — refuse to operate against the trend!