$BTC **2024 BTC Price Prediction (Neutral to Optimistic)**

- **Bullish Factors**: Supply tightening after halving, institutional ETF fund inflows, end of the macro rate hike cycle, historical cycles show that halvings typically break previous highs (target $80K-$100K).

- **Risk Factors**: Regulatory uncertainty, black swan events, or liquidity crises may trigger a pullback (support level $50K).

- **Technical Analysis**: If the weekly closes above $60K, a new bull market may begin; if it falls below $40K, the trend shifts to bearish.

- **Long-Term**: 2025 cycle peak expected at $120K-$150K (needs to be dynamically adjusted in conjunction with adoption curves and on-chain data).

(This does not constitute investment advice; market volatility is severe, and strict risk control is necessary.)