#交易策略误区 #交易策略误区 Countless traders easily fall into trading traps: Taking a chart to formulate strategies, taking out a typical market price chart, and then based on this chart, developing trading strategies, setting their entry signals and exit signals, etc. For example, we find a bullish market chart, look for a moving average, such as the 30-day moving average, and the price rises along the 30-day moving average. Thus, we conclude that the 30-day moving average is effective; it really works. Using the 30-day moving average as our trading system, we enter when we break above the 30-day moving average and exit when we break below it. This kind of thinking trap can easily confuse countless people, who can never find the root of their trading issues.
The reason this logic is flawed is essentially because you inadvertently included a future function, i.e., a precondition; you already know the future market trend, which affects the formulation of your current trading strategy.
But how can we know the future market trend? It’s impossible; the future in front of us is always a black hole, so we don’t know the future market trend at all. We fundamentally do not know whether the trading strategies formulated based on typical charts can still be applied to the next market trend, and of course, it is basically impossible, because the nature of market trends is constantly changing. The trading strategies you developed based on typical charts will soon fall into a losing situation.