Interest rate nuclear explosion: Trump's "interest rate cut card" ignites the crypto market
Early morning surprise market:
Trump tweeted wildly at 22:28 on the 10th, claiming "US stocks and crypto assets have broken historical highs", and more importantly, stated: "The Federal Reserve should quickly cut interest rates!" Although it is not an official policy, the market reacted, causing ETH to violently surge by 100 points, nearing the psychological barrier of 3000.
Deep signals: Trump is pressuring the Federal Reserve with tariff benefits ("NVIDIA up 47%"), in conjunction with the election campaign. Historical experience: His "loose operation" in 2024 has often triggered short-term spikes, but before policy implementation, it is mostly a "news market"!
Risk warning:
The tweet emphasizes the divergence of "no inflation" from reality (US CPI still above 3%), and the Federal Reserve has not responded. Beware of "expected overdraft": if the July FOMC minutes (released on July 16) do not mention rate cuts, bulls will collectively panic!
Technical strangulation: 3000 becomes the "graveyard" for bulls and bears; today is crucial with two major turning points to watch!
(Combined with Chart 1 Fibonacci key levels)
Bull graveyard area:
After a rapid drop from the early morning high of 3004.38 (100% resistance level), a "long upper shadow" was formed, proving there is huge selling pressure in the 3000-3050 area (dense area of institutional orders).
Insufficient daily trading volume: The surge has not been accompanied by volume (委比 only +0.12%), belonging to a "news vacuum rally", with an unstable foundation!
Today's life and death line:
Upward scenario: If it stabilizes above 2963.90 (38.2% support), it may retest 2998-3004. However, a breakthrough requires: a correlated opening of US stocks + a sudden increase in main order volume (currently sparse orders, beware of false breaks).
Nuclear explosion decline scenario: Once it loses 2930 (23.6% support), it will trigger long stop-loss orders, plunging straight to 2900-2880 (0% strong support zone)!
Nuclear warning: At 20:30 Beijing time, pay attention to US PPI data; if inflation rebounds, shorts will ravage the market!
Iron Eagle's insight: Trump's "Twitter governance" stirs emotions in the short term, but ETH needs real liquidity + confirmed interest rate cuts to stabilize above 3000. Today's market is sure to be volatile; retail investors should not chase highs, but rather wait for the news to settle and counterattack!
#ETH突破3000
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