Based on several technical analyses, on-chain data, and macro factors:

1. Investopedia: Bull momentum and breakout channel

  • Bitcoin has just broken through the downward channel, with RSI still in the bullish zone (not overbought), supporting further upward potential Traders Union+14

  • Technical target up to $146,400, which is about +27% from the current level (~$115,600), if this trend continues

  • Key support levels are at $107,000 and $100,000 as potential re-entry areas

2. FxStreet (via Mitrade): Post-Fed dovish sentiment & ETF inflow

  • On-chain data shows a decrease in retail ownership as well as institutional funds entering spot ETFs, opening opportunities to rise towards $120,000 in the coming days.

3. Changelly: Short-term Projection

  • Daily prediction with moving averages supporting upward direction.

Daily details:

  • July 11: $111,468

  • July 12: $117,374 (+5.9%)

  • July 13: $125,509 (+13.2%)

  • $125,509 July 14: $131,793 (+18.9%)

  • July 15: $130,719 (+17.9%)

📊 Daily Prediction Summary

| Date | Price Projection (USD) | Increase from Today\* |

| ---------- | -------------------- | ------------------------ |

| Jul 12 | 117,400 | +1.5 % |

| July 13 | 125,500 | +8.4 % |

| July 14 | 131,800 | +13.9 % |

| July 15 | 130,700 | +12.9 % |

* Assuming current reference price ~ $115,600.


⚙️ Risk Analysis and Catalysts

  • Positive catalysts: Bullish momentum, ETF inflow, dovish Fed signals, technical breakout.

  • Macro volatility—such as sudden inflation data or Fed policies—can change the direction of the trend.

Important support:

  • Short-term at $112,200–$115,000 (following EMA)

  • Conservative stop-loss can be set slightly below initial support, for example around $110,000–$112,000.

Conclusion

  1. 5-day outlook is quite bullish: potential significant increase on July 12–14, particularly with a break into $125k–$132k.

  2. If the price approaches that area, consider a partial exit strategy—either to secure profits or to wait for a correction for re-entry.

  3. Always be disciplined with risk management: set stop-loss and do not over-leverage.