#突破交易策略 1. How to Identify and Confirm an Effective Breakthrough?

The validity of a breakthrough needs to be verified by combining the three core elements of price, trading volume, and time to avoid being misled by a single price breakthrough:

- Price Dimension:

After breaking through key levels (resistance/support), it is essential to observe whether it forms a 'valid hold'—for example, after a daily level breakthrough, the closing price remains above (resistance level breakthrough) or below (support level breakthrough) the breakthrough level for 2-3 consecutive days, rather than just a brief intraday spike.

Example: A certain cryptocurrency has been long hindered at $30,000. If one day it rises to $30,500 during the day but closes back at $29,800, it does not count as an effective breakthrough; if the closing price remains above $30,200 for three consecutive days, it is more likely to be an effective breakthrough.

- Trading Volume Dimension:

An effective breakthrough is often accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume (usually more than 1.5 times the average trading volume of the last 20 days), indicating strong consensus among funds and sufficient momentum. Conversely, a breakthrough with low trading volume may be 'water without a source,' making it prone to a pullback.

Logic: The cryptocurrency market has high retail participation; if there is no institutional or large capital entering during the breakthrough (reflected in trading volume), it is difficult to maintain the trend.