【Zheng Qianqian accompanies you in reviewing | BTC market trend setting + real trading strategy · July 8, afternoon】

🧭 Cycle positioning｜BCMI = 0.55

The index has stabilized above the median line (0.50), in the oscillating upward phase of the medium cycle

Currently not yet in the top area (\u003e0.75), but close to the warning zone of 0.60～0.70

Looking back at history, the range of 0.60-0.75 is usually accompanied by severe washouts (retracement of 20~35%)

Market structure: concentrated positions, bullish sentiment, marginal inflow of on-chain funds weakening, prone to false breakouts + repeated washout patterns

📉 Technical conclusion: Non-trending market, in the oscillating game-dominated phase

✅ BTC real trading strategy (based on JGZ

Type Direction Range Condition State

Main strategy Long 107200 ~ 106000 Near support/lower edge accumulating positions Pending orders

Funding rate neutral to bearish, it is recommended not to chase rising prices and not to heavily invest

🔍 ETH real trading oscillation strategy (currently personal position in operation)

Start date: July 3, 19:14

Leverage: 10x, grid spacing 0.3%, single transaction 200U

Current floating profit: +15.03%, running only for 4 days, has completed 203 transactions

Current status: Continue to hold, oscillating structure unbroken

ETH oscillation strategy parameters are consistent with BTC, suitable for low-band arbitrage, mainly running volume in repeated intervals.

📌 Comprehensive advice

Current market situation is not suitable for subjective large directional orders, suggestions:

Distribute pending orders within the oscillation range;

Take profits on rises, cancel orders when breaking support;

Avoid chasing high when BCMI approaches 0.60, suitable for grid accumulation + light position high sell.