郑百亿

📊【Bitcoin Demand Momentum Turns Positive, the Market Is Far From Over】
Recently, a very key signal on-chain has changed:
✅ The consecutive weeks of 'negative momentum' have finally ended, and green momentum points have begun to appear, indicating a return of funds and increased buying demand;
✅ The momentum trend line has broken through the downward channel, structurally indicating a reversal in market demand;
✅ The 30-day moving average has turned upward, appearing for the first time since June, indicating strong bullish sentiment;
✅ The price is firmly above **$115,000**, supported by the 'improvement in demand momentum'.
🚀 Currently, on-chain data shows no signs of 'market exhaustion', but rather suggests: this rebound still has strength, and it’s not just a fleeting impulse, but a 'structural strengthening'.
👀 If you are still waiting and watching, this might be a good time to reassess your entry strategy.
#BitcoinAnalysis #OnChainData #BullMarketEmerging #BTC Momentum

📉【Institutional Dump Signal Appears? Saylor Transfers 10,000 BTC, Binance Whale Inflow Surges by $1.5 Billion!】
In the past 48 hours, three dangerous signals have emerged on the Bitcoin blockchain:
1⃣ Binance Whale Significantly Transfers In
From July 13 to 15, a Binance whale address transferred in +$1.5 billion BTC (from $51.7 billion to $67 billion), likely preparing to cash out or hedge.
Typically, such behavior is a precursor to a temporary peak or adjustment.
2⃣ MicroStrategy Transfers Out 10,000 BTC at Once
On July 15, an address led by Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy saw a significant transfer of 10,000 BTC.
Looking back to June 9, this institution also transferred out 13,000 BTC, after which the market quickly corrected.
3⃣ 10K+ Addresses Reduce Holdings by 36,000 BTC in 8 Days
Recent address activity data shows that large funds (holding over 10,000 BTC) are selling off, with a total of 36,000 BTC offloaded.
This indicates that we are currently in a distribution phase, not an accumulation phase.
📌【Conclusion】
Short-term caution is advised against institutional dumping. Current geopolitical + macroeconomic uncertainties are rising, and some institutions may choose to secure profits or adjust their portfolios to hedge.
⏳ Is this round of trading entering a high-level fluctuation or even correction? It is recommended to continue monitoring on-chain behavior, especially the next moves of MicroStrategy and Binance whales. Bitcoin Analysis #OnChainData #BTCShortTermRisk #BinanceWhale #MicroStrategyTransferOut #InstitutionalDumpWarning

📈【Is the Bull Market Frenzy Really Starting?】
In the past few days, the market has set new historical highs, ETFs continue to attract funds, and everyone is shouting: The bull market 'frenzy' has arrived!
But is it really the stage of 'everyone dancing'?
I checked the on-chain data and found a fun fact:
Our self-developed 'Greed Indicator' — is not yet maxed out.
The most typical rHODL ratio is currently only 32%.
What does this mean?
👉 Most retail investors have not entered the market yet!
👉 The real 'retail investor takeover' has not begun!
In other words —
This surge is more of an institutional solo dance, and not the kind of 'everyone buying coins, internet celebrities changing careers, and discussing coin prices during tea time' full-blown frenzy.
📌 In previous years, every real peak was accompanied by a surge of retail investors, FOMO emotions, and social platforms filled with 'get rich quick secrets'.
But now? Far from it.
However!
The rHODL data has started to rise rapidly in the past few days,
which usually means:
🚨 The final ball has begun its prelude.

#Bitcoin #ETF Favorable #On-Chain Data #rHODL Indicator #Greed and Fear #FOMO Has Not Started #Final Ball

The greatest illusion of human nature is the belief that staring at the market can change the outcome.
In fact, the more you watch the market, the easier it is to lose money; the more you try to control it, the more you get swept away by emotions.
Real experts have already set their stop-loss and take-profit orders, and then turn around to live their own lives.
Give the system space, and give yourself a breather.
Some profits come easier when you don't keep an eye on them.

#QuantitativeTrading #AutomatedStrategies #TakeProfitStopLoss #Binance #YouCanMakeMoneyWithoutStaringAtTheMarket

📊 Zheng Qianqian · July 10th Quantitative Contract Strategy Briefing:
【Variety】: BTC / ETH
【Strategy Direction】: Mainly bullish, controlling positions following
【Current Status】: Fluctuating slightly strong, structure healthy
🔹 Short-term structure judgment
ETH is consolidating at a high level, with fluctuations converging without breaking key support, possessing upward breakthrough momentum;
If BTC does not break 101,000, it is expected to test the $112,000 high short accumulation area, with a squeeze expectation.
🟢 Long position holding strategy suggestion:
Entry reference: If you have already set up long positions around $108,000 last night, it is recommended to continue holding;
Defense level: If it falls below 101,000 in the short term or ETH falls below 2720, then consider reducing positions to manage risks;
PS: Yesterday afternoon the group notified to take profit on shorts. Last night notified to open long positions at 108,000. 🙏

#BTC #Bitcoin #BTC Market #BTC Analysis #BTC Trend #BTC Contract #BTC Strategy

【Work Record | Ethereum Market Tracking】

This afternoon, I issued a bullish prediction for ETH in advance, just now I called a stop profit on the short position one-on-one, and then the market surged.
The timing was just right, precise profit-taking + reverse layout = steadily capitalizing on this squeeze market.

Current Trend: Shorts are being forced out, and the market has a clear bullish trend.
Next, pay attention to the strong continuation after the oscillation pullback; opportunities are still ongoing.

Trading is not about predicting the absolute highs and lows, but about controlling risk and capturing the main trend.
Earning your own segment is the victory.

—— Zheng Qianqian, continuing to record the rhythm of this market.

【Zheng Qianqian Accompanies You to Watch the Market ETH Operation Strategy｜July 9th Afternoon Analysis】
Current Price: 2628 USDT
Trend Structure: Daily and 4-hour moving averages are in a bullish arrangement, with price retreating and then resuming upward momentum, showing a strong short-term fluctuation.
Liquidation Chart Shows: In the past 4 hours, ETH short positions have liquidated over 11.35 million USD, indicating strong bullish initiative.
Funding rate is at a positive premium but not extreme, still possessing upward momentum.
Operation Suggestions:
Current Positions: Continue holding long positions, suggest moving stop-loss up to the 2690–2710 range, short-term target at 2750~2775.
New Position Layout:
If there is a pullback to the 2580–2600 range, consider trying to enter long with a small position.
If there is a strong breakout above 2700 with volume support, consider following the trend to go long.
Defense Level: 2520
Take Profit Expectation: 2700–2750 (first wave), strongly looking towards 2775+
Remarks: ETH is currently still in a mild upward channel, be careful not to chase high prices; reference the areas with dense liquidations for lower entries. Use your grid well during fluctuations, and maintain your conviction during trends.
Zheng Qianqian accompanies you to keep the rhythm steady, guard the rhythm, and only then can there be profits!
Currently still holding fluctuation positions. #eth行情分析 #量化网格 #震荡上涨

The current market is still in a pattern of "volatile upward movement + potential inducement", the funding rate is not extreme, and the BCMI is not overheated, making it suitable for low-risk band strategies, avoiding chasing highs and selling lows.

📉Strategy Status: The ongoing ETH oscillation strategy continues to hold, no manual intervention is needed, waiting for the next reverse band to adjust the position.

【Zheng Qianqian accompanies you in reviewing | BTC market trend setting + real trading strategy · July 8, afternoon】
🧭 Cycle positioning｜BCMI = 0.55
The index has stabilized above the median line (0.50), in the oscillating upward phase of the medium cycle
Currently not yet in the top area (\u003e0.75), but close to the warning zone of 0.60～0.70
Looking back at history, the range of 0.60-0.75 is usually accompanied by severe washouts (retracement of 20~35%)
Market structure: concentrated positions, bullish sentiment, marginal inflow of on-chain funds weakening, prone to false breakouts + repeated washout patterns
📉 Technical conclusion: Non-trending market, in the oscillating game-dominated phase
✅ BTC real trading strategy (based on JGZ
Type Direction Range Condition State
Main strategy Long 107200 ~ 106000 Near support/lower edge accumulating positions Pending orders
Funding rate neutral to bearish, it is recommended not to chase rising prices and not to heavily invest
🔍 ETH real trading oscillation strategy (currently personal position in operation)
Start date: July 3, 19:14
Leverage: 10x, grid spacing 0.3%, single transaction 200U
Current floating profit: +15.03%, running only for 4 days, has completed 203 transactions
Current status: Continue to hold, oscillating structure unbroken
ETH oscillation strategy parameters are consistent with BTC, suitable for low-band arbitrage, mainly running volume in repeated intervals.
📌 Comprehensive advice
Current market situation is not suitable for subjective large directional orders, suggestions:
Distribute pending orders within the oscillation range;
Take profits on rises, cancel orders when breaking support;
Avoid chasing high when BCMI approaches 0.60, suitable for grid accumulation + light position high sell.

Today I went out with my sisters to play in the water and stream hiking,
Anyway, the robot is running to help me make money in 24-hour grid trading, the waterfall in the mountains is very cool and refreshing!!
Today's market analysis is still in a consolidation phase.
Let's continue to hold onto the consolidation positions!!
BTC is currently in a short squeeze structure consolidation period, the daily trend is still healthy, the current price range is stuck between the long and short liquidation zone, short-term advice is to buy on dips and not chase highs, support level is at 108,000, target looks at 111,500~114,000, grid strategy continues to run for consolidation arbitrage.
#Consolidation #btc #QuantitativeGrid #StreamHiking #PlayingInWater

📅 July 5th | Zheng Qianqian's Viewpoint: High-level stagnation, fluctuating towards bearish, pay attention to the risk of pullback.
📌 Current Position: Fluctuating position + Short position (30% of one position)
🎯 Trading Strategy:
1⃣ Add to short position near 108800, stop loss at 110200
2⃣ Support levels to watch: 106200 / 105000, light position to bet on rebound
3⃣ Grid range: 105500 ~ 110000
4⃣ Position ≤ 30%, Leverage ≤ 10 times
5⃣ Set take profit and stop loss in advance, don't be greedy, don't chase.

📌【BTC Technical Analysis Review | 2025/07/04】

Current BTC price $109,189, intraday low reached $108,566. From a technical structure perspective, the market is in a key game area, characterized by a short squeeze probe + sideways digestion.
🔍 Key points of the technical structure summary:

1️⃣ Short-term trend: 15-minute and 1-hour periods form a MACD death cross, moving average system under pressure, showing a weak consolidation.
2️⃣ Volume structure: Recent volume increase followed by a decrease in rebound, indicating insufficient willingness from bulls to take over.
3️⃣ Liquidation map/position distribution: The area of $109,000 to $110,400 is a dense liquidation zone, with the main force repeatedly washing out and clearing floating capital.
4️⃣ Capital flow: Positions on Binance and OKX have both increased, retail investors show strong willingness to go long, while the main force has reverse momentum.

🎯 Operational suggestions (not investment advice)
• Short-term recommendation to maintain a sideways mindset, do not chase highs or lows
• If it breaks below $108,500 with volume, panic may amplify → Watch for bottom-fishing signals
• If it rebounds without volume to $110,200+, or shows a long squeeze signal → Can observe and look for short opportunities
📈 Extension: My current running ETH grid oscillation strategy

✅ Running for 15 hours, profit +10.47%
✅ Drawdown only 6.06%, specifically targeting oscillation profits
ETH has been stronger than BTC recently, but is also in a structural suppression period

👀 If you are also interested in the structural games behind trends, liquidation data, and the main force's movements, feel free to follow me, let’s view the market more rationally together📊
#BTCAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #BinanceSquare #GridTrading #BTCMarketInterpretation

It is no longer a trending market, but rather a transitional phase of "short sellers being liquidated, and bulls becoming greedy". It is extremely suitable for high-frequency arbitrage and not suitable for blindly increasing positions on long or short trades. If you still have positions, hold on and let them oscillate; if you don't have any, then take a break.

The precise quantitative grid long position opened at 105500 this morning, with a stepped increase. Comfortable. Profit of 180u. Comfortable. BTC is very strong.

Won two meals' worth of money, but still owe for a flat in the Bay Area.
Even whales can be trapped sometimes, let's practice together.

📊 The network funding volume remains stable in the 'Equilibrium Zone'. What will happen to Bitcoin next?
The average transfer volume in the Bitcoin network is currently $58.7B, positioned in the middle of the $40B-$80B equilibrium zone. This range has become a 'core indicator' for measuring market funding activity since the beginning of 2024.
🔍 How do I understand this signal?
Upper limit = approaching a peak?
When the funding volume approaches $80B, it often signals a temporary high point—such as the two peaks at 70K and 100K that corresponded to this value.
Lower limit = buy opportunity?
When the funding volume nears $40B, it indicates a short-term market coolness, but is often quickly 'picked up', leading to a high probability of rebound.
What does the current $58.7B mean?
It’s like the calm before a storm:
The market funds haven’t receded, nor have they peaked,
it’s a typical 'consolidation and accumulation' phase,
similar to the strong rally phase after the consolidation in July 2021.
📈 Personal Opinion:
Funds haven’t left, the trend isn’t dead. As long as it doesn’t drop below $40B, the fundamentals remain stable;
Pay attention to the moment it breaks above $80B, as that will signal a full-scale market entry, making it easier for the market to accelerate;
Conversely, if it consistently drops below $40B for several weeks, that might indicate a real bear market approaching.
Current Position: No position, cashed out on the BTC108500 long position yesterday.
🧠 Beyond the data, I also pay attention to the inflow platforms, changes in active addresses, on-chain accumulation behaviors, and other detailed signals weekly. If you’re also monitoring the trend, don’t forget to follow along, let’s be calm and rational profit-makers together.

Exactly one hundred thousand orders. The quantitative grid is very stable.

Grid is comfortable, no need to watch the market.

📉【BNB Chain Contract Activity Plummets, Is DeFi Bleeding?】
Since July 2023, the number of active contracts on the BNB Chain has continued to decline, with the latest data showing it has fallen to a more than one-year low.
🔍 A closer look reveals:
Over 90% of contract activity is concentrated in DeFi/Dex
NFTs and infrastructure categories are almost neglected
The main reason for the collapse in activity is the collective silence of the DeFi sector
🧠 What does this mean?
Single dependence = systemic risk exposure
Once DeFi declines or projects migrate, the entire chain's popularity will plummet instantly
Lack of ecological diversity leads to extremely poor resilience
Without new growth points, the chain is prone to “bleeding” to other competing public chains
⚠ Whether you are a developer or an investor, it is worth noting:
This is not just an ordinary bear market data, but a signal of structural crisis
Confidence in the BNB Chain cannot rely solely on a few DeFi projects
📢 My questions:
👉 Will you still choose to deploy projects or participate in the ecosystem on the BNB Chain?
👉 If you were part of the BNB Chain team, which areas would you prioritize to diversify risk?
#BNBChain #DeFi #OnChainData #CryptoMarketObservation #BlockchainEcosystem

📉Price Silence, On-Chain Clamor: Is Ethereum's Silent Revival Happening?
On June 25, Ethereum's on-chain confirmed transaction volume reached 1.75 million, marking the third highest in history, only behind January 2024 and the peak of the 2021 bull market.
Many are still asking: "Why hasn't ETH gone up yet?"
But on-chain is already shouting: "I'm very lively!"
Let's look at a few key points:
🔍1. What does the explosion of on-chain transactions represent?
These 1.75 million transactions are not just water meter spins; they mainly include:
DEX arbitrage and liquidation: Frequently traded DeFi protocols are active again.
Contract calls and chain games/interactions: The number of DApp users has clearly rebounded.
Arbitrum/Optimism bridging: L2 is settling at high speed, with the ETH mainnet taking on more settlement responsibilities.
In other words, Ethereum is not unused; it feels more like a "construction site reboot," but housing prices haven't risen yet.
🔁2. Why hasn't the ETH price moved?
In the past 30 days, ETH has oscillated between $2,879 and $2,111, currently in the stage of "main force accumulation + long-short competition." The price hasn't risen, partly because the overall market style is BTC-dominated, and partly because it has given smart money ample time to layout sectors like L2, AI + DeFi, and modularization.
Thus, this is the "low price window" period for smart money.
💡3. If you are a "smart user," what can you pay attention to?
Focus on protocols where on-chain heat is refocusing: Uniswap, Eigenlayer, Blast, Friend.tech (user numbers are rebounding).
Pay attention to opportunities driven by L2 activity: Arbitrum, Base, Starknet are gradually emerging from obscurity.
Seek out undervalued ETH ecosystem assets: L2 native tokens, ETH staking-related projects.
Final summary:
"On-chain data is like a leaked earnings report, while price is always the last to know."
Are you ready?🧠🚀