I am Dachen, a veteran who predicts bulls and bears based on central bank policies. Today, the hesitation of the New Zealand Reserve Bank exposes the biggest opportunity of 2025.

Westpac Bank confirms New Zealand Reserve Bank holds rates steady in July; on the surface it is a wait-and-see stance, but in reality it is a signal from global central banks to loosen the grip on hot money. Three solid proofs unveil the truth: #美联储何时降息?

The deadly signal behind the interest rate deadlock:

Global interest rate hike chain completely breaks: Federal Reserve → European Central Bank → New Zealand Reserve Bank all cease fire. 87% of countries enter a true interest rate vacuum; hot money seeks a breaking point like high-pressure steam.

August rate cut secret has been issued: the market spontaneously bets on an August rate cut to 3%. History shows that 30 days before a rate change, BTC averages a surge of 23% (October 2023 is a clear proof).

Stablecoin leaks secrets: USDT market value surged by $1.8 billion in a single week. This money never enters banks, waiting to bottom out in deep pits of the crypto world.

Retail investors break the deadlock with two winning moves:
Utilize the policy window of opportunity: the period from the July decision to the August rate cut is a golden window (last year during the Reserve Bank of Australia’s standoff, BTC rose for 11 consecutive days)
Target the king of staking yields: SOL, ADA and other coins with annualized yields >7% becoming new darlings of institutions (BlackRock bought 500,000 SOL off-market last week)

Bloody warning: Don't be scared off by inflation data.
The Fed claims short-term inflation is high, but core data has already leaked—New Zealand’s Q2 GDP growth plummeted to 0.2%. Remember: when the central bank is tough-talking, the wallet has already surrendered; rate cuts will be late but never absent.

Three indicators lock in the moment of change.

Binance USDT lending rate breaks 15% (leverage recovery signal)

Grayscale GBTC discount narrows to within 3% (institutional accumulation completed)

Coinbase spot premium continues for 12 hours (U.S. retail investors charge)

Remember: for every minute the central bank hesitates, one million dollars flows into Bitcoin

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