After BTC surges to $110,000, will the altcoin frenzy arrive as scheduled? As an old player who has experienced three cycles of bull and bear markets, I want to say: the answer is definitely yes, and it may even be crazier than in 2021. Understand these three iron rules, and you will be able to hit the rhythm accurately next time!
1. The 'memory pattern' of retail investors hides the 'reverse code' of the market
The most intriguing phenomenon in the crypto world is that retail investors always 'summarize the lessons from the last round and jump into the next trap':
- After the altcoin collapse in 2017, everyone vowed to 'only hold BTC', but in 2021, altcoins collectively surged by 10-100 times, leaving BTC holders regretting their decision;
- After the altcoin frenzy in 2021, retail investors summarized again that 'next time we need to go all in on altcoins', but this time BTC rose 3 times while altcoins fell 80%, and those holding altcoins suffered greatly;
- Nowadays, the entire network is shouting 'altcoins are dead, BTC is king'—this is precisely a signal! When retail investors collectively forget the 'pain of altcoins' and exchange all their chips for BTC, funds will quietly flow towards the forgotten altcoin pool. This is human nature, and it is an unbreakable iron rule.
2. The 'control game' of capitalists always requires 'cheap chips'
Always remember: there are no philanthropists in the crypto world, only calculating operators.
In the past two years, the harder altcoins have fallen, the cheaper the chips collected by project teams and capital have become. Now, many altcoins have a market cap of only $5 million, yet the project teams hold 70% of the chips—what does this mean? With just $1 million to pump the price, they can leverage a 10-fold increase, attracting retail investors to take over, easily recouping their principal and profits.
2021’s SHIB and DOGE were like this: first, let retail investors cut losses in a bear market, then in a bull market, use a small amount of funds to pump the price, and when the retail investors chase the price up, sell off. This round of altcoins has dropped even more severely, with chips more concentrated, so the next pump will be even more intense.
3. A true bull market is always a 'national frenzy'
The current market essence is 'BTC dancing alone', and retail investors are either missing out or stuck in altcoins complaining—this is not the appearance of a true bull market!
Looking back at 2017 and 2021: neighborhood aunties discussing which coins to buy, colleagues chatting about which altcoin doubled during lunch, and even the market aunties knowing 'buying coins can make money'. At that time, new retail investors flooded in like a tide, bringing incremental funds into the altcoin pool, pushing up all coins.
Now, there are only 400 million crypto users, less than 5% of the global population—there is huge room for growth! When the next wave of new retail investors enters, they won’t care about 'BTC's stability', they will only chase the altcoins that rise the fastest, which is the fuel for the frenzy.
Finally, let me say something from the heart:
The altcoin season will definitely come, perhaps in the second half of this year, or perhaps in the next cycle, but it will never be absent.
What we need to do now is not to worry about 'when it will come', but to filter out those 'that have fallen deeply, are concentrated, and have practical applications' altcoins in advance (such as quality small-cap coins in the Solana ecosystem), and patiently wait for the wind to come.#美国加征关税 #日内交易策略 #香港稳定币条例 #马斯克计划成立美国党 #长期持有策略