Why do you always get liquidated when trading contracts? It's not bad luck; it's that you don't understand the essence of trading at all! This low-risk principle, condensed from ten years of trading experience, will completely overturn your understanding of contract trading — liquidation is never the market's fault, but a time bomb you planted yourself.
Three major truths that overturn perceptions
Leverage ≠ risk: position size is the lifeline
Using 1% position under 100x leverage, the actual risk is only equivalent to 1% of a full spot position. A certain student used 20x leverage to trade ETH, investing only 2% of the principal each time, with three years of zero liquidations. Core formula: actual risk = leverage × position ratio.
Stop loss ≠ loss: the ultimate insurance for the account
During the 312 crash in 2024, 78% of liquidated accounts had a common characteristic: losses exceeding 5% without setting a stop loss. Professional traders' iron rule: a single loss must not exceed 2% of the principal, equivalent to setting a 'circuit fuse' for the account.
Rolling positions ≠ all-in: the correct way to open compound interest
Laddered position building model: first position 10% for trial and error, increase position by 10% of profits. Starting with 50,000, the first position is 5,000 (10x leverage); increase by 500 for every 10% profit. When BTC rises from 75,000 to 82,500, the total position only increases by 10%, but the safety margin increases by 30%.
Institution-level risk control model
Dynamic position formula
Total position ≤ (principal × 2%) / (stop loss range × leverage)
Example: 50,000 principal, 2% stop loss, 10x leverage, maximum position = 50000 × 0.02 / (0.02 × 10) = 5000
Three-stage profit-taking method
① Close 1/3 at 20% profit ② Close another 1/3 at 50% profit ③ Move stop loss for the remaining position (exit when breaking the 5-day line)
In the 2024 halving market, this strategy increased a capital of 50,000 to a million during two trends, with a return rate exceeding 1900%.
Hedging insurance mechanism
Using 1% of the principal to buy Put options while holding positions, the test shows it can hedge 80% of extreme risks. During the black swan event in April 2024, this strategy successfully saved 23% of the account's net value.
Empirical data of fatal traps
Holding a position for 4 hours: the probability of liquidation increases to 92%
High-frequency trading: an average of 500 operations per month leads to a 24% loss of principal
Profit greed: failure to take profits in time resulted in an 83% drawdown of the account
IV. Mathematical expression of the essence of trading
Expected profit = (win rate × average profit) - (loss rate × average loss)
When setting a 2% stop loss and a 20% take profit, a win rate of only 34% is needed to achieve positive returns. Professional traders achieve an annualized return of over 400% through strict stop-loss (average loss of 1.5%) and trend capturing (average profit of 15%).
Ultimate rule:
Single loss ≤ 2%
Annual trades ≤ 20
Profit-loss ratio ≥ 3:1
70% of the time in cash waiting
The essence of the market is a probability game; smart traders risk 2% to capture trend dividends. Remember: control your losses, and profits will run. Establish a mechanical trading system to allow discipline to replace emotional decision-making; this is the ultimate answer to continuous profitability.
#美国加征关税 #日内交易策略 #香港稳定币条例 #马斯克计划成立美国党 #长期持有策略