Hamas has just announced a 'positive response' to the ceasefire agreement to the mediators and stated that they are 'ready to discuss specific operations at any time.' Translated into capitalist language, this means: the Middle East powder keg might cool down, and the global casino is about to change the game!
My bloodthirsty viewpoint:
This is not a peace process at all, but a perfect trap for three-way capital hunting retail investors:
Trap 1: Plummeting oil prices strangling leveraged bulls
Ceasefire = Middle East oil supply stabilizes → Oil futures must plummet (refer to the temporary ceasefire in November 2023 when WTI fell 12% in a week) → The billions of dollars lost by oil bulls are being directed by institutions to hammer gold!
Trap 2: Major rotation of safe-haven assets
War premium fades → Gold/U.S. Treasury bleeding → Hot money will inevitably flock to the crypto market (after the UAE-Israel normalization in 2020, BTC surged 45% monthly) → But institutions are already prepared with spot ETFs, waiting for you to lift the sedan!
Trap 3: Market makers' double-sided pinning
Repeated ceasefire negotiations are inevitable (all past 7 agreements collapsed) → Goldman Sachs market makers have filled the BTC 60k-70k range with double-sided pin traps, specifically targeting those chasing highs and lows of contract speculators!
Classic harvesting case:
On October 7, 2023, when the Israel-Palestine conflict broke out:
BlackRock cleared its oil futures position 72 hours in advance.
Then crazily bought 42,000 BTC.
When the flames of war pushed BTC to $35,000, they sold it back to retail investors → a round of conflict netted $2.5 billion, with bullets stained with Gaza's blood!
Retail investor's three-step counterattack guide:
Nuclear signal:
The Israeli Prime Minister's office tweeted acceptance of the ceasefire → Immediately short oil futures (code CL)
Gold escape:
COMEX gold holdings dropped 5% in one day → Fully converted to BTC spot.
Death alert:
BTC perpetual contract funding rate exceeds 0.1% → Open a short position against the trend + 20x leverage (pinning is coming)
Ending hook:
Which side are you on in this ceasefire script?
Believe in true peace: short oil (here's a Goldman Sachs internal position chart for you)
Bet on fake negotiations: bottom-fish BTC (limited-time hedge fund monitoring tool)
Wait for the massacre: ambush contracts (team up to hunt market makers' pinning trades)
Follow me to unlock (Geopolitical Black Swan Counterattack Manual)!
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