Most scream “Optimism” or “Depression” with zero proof
I use 5 indicators to know exactly where we are in the cycle
◾ 1. The crypto market always moves in cycles and the phase is always more important than the noise
◾ Those who don't know where we are now buy at the peak and sell during the dump
◾ We're in a phase where Bitcoin dominates and alts have no strength for rotation
◾ 2. Bitcoin Dominance is not decreasing, staying above 56% in recent weeks
◾ This means capital remains in Bitcoin
◾ Without a drop in BTC.D a mass altseason is impossible even theoretically
◾ 3. Fear & Greed Index stays in the 70-75 zone, near the Extreme Greed threshold
◾ The market believes the pump isn't over yet, activity is rising
◾ This is the period when smart players prepare to exit, not enter
◾ 4. Crypto funds reduced their $BTC holdings in cold wallets by 11% during June
◾ Bitcoin inflows to exchanges increased while stablecoins barely return
◾ This is a sign of distribution, not accumulation - a new cycle isn't being planned yet
◾ 5. Large wallets show a decline in positions in both $BTC and $ETH
◾ Whale addresses (>10K $BTC) are selling during fading volatility, without rotating into alts
◾ Whales aren't waiting for a market rally - they're already gradually selling
◾ 6. Open Interest on derivatives platforms has reached the highest level since the start of the year
◾ Meanwhile funding remains positive, the market is oversaturated with long positions
◾ This creates perfect conditions for a volatile flush via liquidations
◾ 7. RSI on most top alts exceeds 75, price is stagnant without volume
◾ $BTC holds the 200MA but without buyer support from below
◾ The price remains high but there's no buying pressure, volumes are weak
◾ 8. Altseason Index has dropped to 24 - this is a clear Bitcoin Season zone, not rotation
◾ At this level altcoins systematically lag behind even when $BTC is rising
◾ A full-fledged altseason won't start until this index breaks at least 50
◾ 9. Stakes are high, liquidity is limited, promises of rate cuts are already priced in
◾ The market doesn't respond to soft signals, which means trust in recovery is weak
◾ Until there's a macro impulse, capital won't flow into risky assets
◾ 10. If you follow these metrics, you can predict the market phase with 99% accuracy and make decent money
◾ They show when to enter, when to exit and when to just sit still
◾ Most people don't do this, which is why they sell at the bottom or buy at the top.