Most think it’s ultra bullish
BUT I spent 14 hours researching and I know the TRUTH
1/ ᳀ The bill by DonaldTrump titled One Big Beautiful Bill has been officially passed by the Senate and is awaiting signature
᳀ The media presents it as a big win for the economy and the market is reacting to the news with short-term positivity
᳀ At first glance everything looks super bullish, but that’s far from the truth and I’ll explain why:
2/ ᳀ Trump has long ceased to be just a politician - he’s a full-fledged market player who knows how to manage sentiment
᳀ He has repeatedly pushed positive messaging to create favorable conditions for his own actions
᳀ It seems we’re once again seeing a situation where big players are preparing to exit while retail investors are buying into the hype
3/ ᳀ At first glance, OBBBA is a strong stimulus: tax breaks, more cash, social bonuses
᳀ But if you dig deeper, it becomes clear that the burden falls on the budget and consumers through debt and new tariffs
᳀ The effect will be stretched over time, and the market will live in an illusion of stability for a while
4/ ᳀ In 2025-2026 consumers will indeed receive more money thanks to tax breaks
᳀ But starting in late 2025, new tariffs will take away $75B per quarter and most of it will be paid by the people
᳀ The short-term boost will quickly turn into pressure the market isn’t currently pricing in
5/ ᳀ According to CBO estimates, the bill will increase the deficit by $3.3T over 10 years or up to $5.5T if the breaks are extended
᳀ This creates serious risks for finances - through possible rate hikes or renewed inflation
᳀ Both outcomes will negatively affect markets, especially crypto, which is sensitive to capital cost changes
6/ ᳀ OBBBA works with a delay: first consumers get the money and then the pressure from tariffs and cuts begins
᳀ This delay can give investors hope for quick profit and mislead them
᳀ As a result, optimism will turn into a quick smart money exit, leaving the market with overpriced assets
7/ ᳀ Although the bill creates certain risks, there are also positive aspects that may support the market in the short term
᳀ Rising consumer incomes in 2025 will provide an extra boost for investments, including in crypto
᳀ This could become the trigger for a new $BTC growth cycle, especially with institutional support
8/ ᳀ The growing budget deficit and potential inflation push investors to look for capital-preserving assets
᳀ $BTC, as digital gold, is traditionally viewed in such conditions as a safe-haven asset and may attract additional attention
᳀ This lays the groundwork for a gradual strengthening of crypto’s position in portfolios
9/ ᳀ Technical signals and the behavior of large players also indicate growing interest in $BTC
᳀ Increasing institutional investor positions and activity in the derivatives market show readiness for further upward movement
᳀ If macroeconomic conditions don’t deteriorate, this could lead to a new ATH in the coming months
10/ ᳀ The most important thing now is to stay calm and not make decisions under the influence of panic or euphoria
᳀ The market will reveal its true trend a bit later, so it’s worth holding positions with sound risk management
᳀ Focus on long-term goals and be ready for volatility - it’s a normal part of the market cycle.
#OneBigBeautifulBill #BTCWhaleMovement #SpotVSFuturesStrategy