🧭 Bitcoin Outlook – Mid‑July 2025: Eyes on the $110K Line

📊 Current Price Action & Technical Setup

BTC is hovering between $108K–$109K, facing strong resistance near $110K–$110.5K .

• Support zones lie at $104.5K–$105.5K, with a second line at $103.7K–$104K ().

🔼 Bull Case

If BTC breaks convincingly above $110.5K, short-term targets include $112.4K then $115K, possibly leading to $120–$125K .

• Fundamental boost from ETF inflows, post-halving cycle dynamics, and macro momentum suggest upside .

🔽 Bear Case

A drop below $104.5K–$105.5K—especially a close under $104K—could trigger a dip toward $99K–$100K, with downside risk extending to $92K if broader weakness emerges .

💡 My Trade Gameplan

• Lean long: scale into longs between $105K–$108K, keeping stop-losses below $104K.

• Take partial profits near $112K–$115K if momentum holds.

• For aggressive traders: consider a short under $104K, with stop-loss above $105.5K.

• Key action point: wait for confirmed breakout above $110.5K before expanding exposure.

🧠 TL;DR

• Bull trigger: Sustained move above $110.5K → next stops: $112–$115K (short-term), $120K+ (mid-term).

• Bear trigger: Breakdown under $104–$104.5K → watch for drop into $99–$100K zone.

• My stance: Long with tight risk, scaling smart. Short possible if key support fails.

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