(based on data from CoinMarketCap and RSI for the 20 main coins)
🧭 Overall market picture (macro analysis)
Indicator Value Change / Comment
Fear and Greed Index 55 Neutral — shift towards "greed"
Market capitalization $3.32T Slight decrease compared to July 3
Trading volume (24h) $95.94B Decline in volume — decreased interest/volatility
CMC 100 Index $204.37 (−2.78%) Indication of weakness in major assets
Net Flows (capital inflow) + $750.3M Positive signal, increase in buying interest
BTC dominance 64.6% Increase in Bitcoin's position as a safe asset
ETH dominance 9.2% Level unchanged
Altseason index 24 / 100 Still a pronounced Bitcoin season
Open interest (OI) $774.4B Increase, especially in perpetual futures
Implied volatility (IV) BTC: 39.10 / ETH: 65.16 Strong divergence — Ethereum is significantly more volatile
📈 RSI analysis for the top 20 coins (all timeframes)
Coin RSI(15m) RSI(1h) RSI(4h) RSI(12h) RSI(24h) Status
BTC 31.67 31.80 47.40 53.51 54.43 🟡 Support at RSI 30, likely short-term bounce
ETH 27.54 29.58 48.63 52.35 51.63 🔻 Deeply oversold on lower TFs
XRP 39.50 29.87 49.09 52.92 52.07 🔻 RSI(1h) in the danger zone — signal for a potential reversal
BNB 28.99 34.18 46.67 52.06 51.88 🔻 RSI below 35 — entry zone for speculators
SOL 26.19 31.90 42.11 48.44 48.06 🔻 Deeply oversold, but low buyer activity
USDC 50.00 41.51 48.01 51.43 54.61 ⚫ Stable stablecoin, no trend
TRX 31.09 37.73 55.05 60.25 58.65 🔺 RSI(12h–24h) rise — entry into the overbought zone
DOGE 25.91 28.14 44.30 46.92 44.16 🔻 Strongly oversold, possible short squeeze
ADA 34.10 33.11 47.85 47.76 46.37 🟡 Consolidation, without a distinct trend
WBTC 31.16 31.28 47.23 53.54 54.64 🔻 Similar to BTC — potential zone for longs
SUI 34.82 35.09 51.60 53.05 48.93 🟡 Sideways, but without the risk of sharp movements
BCH 38.39 35.40 37.74 46.76 53.03 🟡 RSI(4h) indicates bull fatigue
LINK 31.20 28.60 43.65 48.13 47.21 🔻 Technical zone for position building
AVAX 33.60 29.20 45.51 47.23 44.90 🔻 Borderline market condition
XLM 31.47 35.93 47.50 45.83 42.98 🔻 RSI stable, but the market is weak
TON 36.86 37.12 39.91 41.38 40.88 🟡 Gradual exhaustion of movement
SHIB 24.91 28.14 40.52 45.67 43.91 🔻 Strongly oversold, speculative potential for a bounce
LTC 33.00 34.26 48.41 51.88 50.89 ⚫ Neutral, but the structure is technically stable
HBAR 46.25 42.57 54.58 55.35 47.95 🟢 One of the few with a "healthy" RSI
DOT 24.03 24.82 40.33 44.67 41.96 🔻 Strongest oversold on the market among all coins
🧩 Technical signals and patterns
BTC and ETH are in a potential long zone with a short-term speculative approach (RSI ~30)
SHIB, DOGE, DOT, SOL — all in extreme oversold zones across multiple TFs → possible short liquidation bounce
HBAR, USDC, LTC — in technically stable conditions
TRX shows a stable uptrend on higher RSIs (possibly preparing for a local breakout)
📌 Strategy summary for July 4
Scenario Description
🔹 LONG candidates ETH, BTC, DOGE, DOT, #SHIB , #LINK (entry at RSI <30)
🔸 SHORT candidates #TRX , #ADA , #AVAX (when RSI >65)
⚖️ Observation HBAR, SUI, LTC — stability, no entry
📉 Risk signals Volumes have fallen, but net inflow and increase in open interest indicate speculative activity
