₿ Bitcoin ($BTC ) Market Analysis – July 2025

Bitcoin is trading around $107,800, consolidating just below its all-time high of $112,000. The trend remains bullish, but momentum has slowed as traders assess macro conditions and ETF flows.

Technically, BTC is holding above key support at $103,500. A breakout above $108,800 could trigger a strong rally toward $120K. However, repeated rejections at that level suggest short-term profit-taking and hesitation among large holders. RSI is hovering near 61, indicating slightly overbought conditions, while EMAs remain in a bullish alignment.

On the fundamental side, institutional demand continues to support price action. Spot Bitcoin ETFs are seeing steady inflows, and on-chain data shows declining exchange reserves—signaling long-term holding behavior. Meanwhile, persistent inflation and global uncertainty are reinforcing Bitcoin’s role as a digital hedge.

If BTC breaks above $108.8K with strong volume, we could see a push into price discovery. Otherwise, expect continued range-bound movement between $103K and $108K. A deeper pullback toward $95K remains unlikely unless triggered by a macro shock or ETF outflows.

For short-term traders, $108.8K is the breakout level to watch. Mid-term holders may consider partial profit-taking near ATH zones. Long-term investors can remain confident in BTC’s dominant position and growing institutional adoption.

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