Looking at the historical performance of the crypto total market cap excluding Bitcoin (TOTAL2), we see a story of explosive growth 📈, sharp corrections 🔻, and major market cycles that tell us a lot about what may lie ahead. The first image, representing the 2017–2018 bull run, shows how the market cap rocketed by 217,797.98%, from under \$40B to around \$475B within just 434 days. That was a time of euphoria across altcoins 🚀. Projects with minimal fundamentals were pumping, ICOs were everywhere, and the crowd believed the moon was just the beginning 🌕. But as fast as the market rose, it came crashing down. What followed was a brutal bear market that reminded everyone of how unforgiving crypto winters can be ❄️.
Fast forward to the second image, the 2021–2022 cycle, and the numbers got even wilder. A massive 1,729.29% gain took the TOTAL2 market cap from \$93.47B all the way to \$1.71T over 707 days. This wasn’t just about hype—it was the era of DeFi, NFTs, Layer 1s, and serious capital inflow from institutions 🏦. Retail and smart money alike rushed into the market. Ethereum surged, Solana and Avalanche exploded, and tokens across multiple sectors went parabolic. But again, just like in 2018, the cycle topped, and what followed was another painful drawdown. The volatility remained king, and portfolios shrunk fast if not managed properly. Still, this cycle marked a maturing ecosystem—builders kept building, infrastructure got stronger, and adoption grew 🌐.
Now the third image paints the current picture: 2025. We’ve already seen a strong rally from the bear market lows of around \$435B to \$1.13T—a 110.69% gain over 336 days. That’s healthy growth compared to prior cycles, indicating strength and possibly early-stage momentum ⚡. The volume has been solid, and we’re currently consolidating in a higher range. The overall structure is suggesting a setup reminiscent of previous cycles, but more measured. What’s striking is how each cycle not only gets larger in market cap terms, but also shows longer durations, stronger recoveries, and deeper liquidity pools 🌊.
So, what might come in 2026? If we look at prior patterns, it’s reasonable to expect a continuation of this macro uptrend. Previous cycles gained 200x, then 17x—so while diminishing returns are a reality, another strong rally is likely 💥. Even a 3–5x from here could push the TOTAL2 market cap to \$3–5T, especially if narratives like real-world assets (RWAs), AI-integrated crypto, scalable Layer 2s, and institutional adoption continue to evolve. Regulatory clarity is improving globally, which is likely to be a key driver of capital influx 📜💰.
Another key point: unlike 2017 or even 2021, the base of users, developers, and use cases is far more robust now. We’re not just talking speculation—there’s actual demand for blockchain solutions in areas like gaming 🎮, identity 👤, decentralized finance 💸, and cross-border payments 🌍. The charts reflect more than lines—they tell a story of increasing maturity and confidence. If TOTAL2 holds its current structure and breaks prior highs near \$1.7T, it would signal a full market recovery and the likely start of a euphoric phase similar to what we saw in the last two bull runs 🏁.
The numbers don’t lie—each bull market has brought in more capital, more innovation, and more participants. While past performance doesn't guarantee future results, the setup going into 2026 looks ripe for another explosive chapter in the crypto saga 🔮. If history rhymes, then we may just be on the edge of something even bigger than before. Stay alert, stay informed, and most importantly—stay grounded. The opportunities ahead are massive, but so are the risks ⚠️. The next 12 to 18 months could define the next generational wave of crypto weal
th 💼🌐📊.
Based on the historical data from your images and previous cycles, we can estimate a potential percentage market pump in 2026 by analyzing past patterns from the TOTAL2 (crypto market cap excluding Bitcoin):
📊 Historical Bull Runs:
1. 2017–2018:
Pump = +217,797.98%
From ≈ \$218M to ≈ \$475B
2. 2021–2022:
Pump = +1,729.29%
From ≈ \$93.47B to ≈ \$1.71T
3. 2025 (current):
Already gained +110.69% from ≈ \$535B to ≈ \$1.13T
🔮 Projecting 2026:
Considering diminishing returns in each cycle, a realistic projection for 2026 could be:
Conservative estimate: +200% to +300%
Moderate estimate: +400% to +600%
Aggressive/optimistic estimate: +1,000% (10x) — if major catalysts (ETFs, global adoption, regulations, RWAs) align
If TOTAL2 goes from \$1.13T to, say, \$4T, that would be:
✅ Approximately +254% gain (3.5x from current level)
This aligns with the historical trend of reduced ROI per cycle but still substantial upside. The final figure will depend on macroeconomic factors, Bitcoin dominance, and altcoin sector rotations.
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