$$🚨 Why Now Is the Time to **Short COIN** & **Go Long on Bitcoin$BTC

A fresh note from 10x Research shows Coinbase’s stock (COIN) is **approaching “overvaluation territory”** — meaning it’s climbing faster than its fundamentals support it. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is steadily gaining — the perfect setup for a classic **pair trade**. ([coindesk.com][1])

📈 What’s Driving This View?

* **COIN shares surged \~84% in just two months**, while Bitcoin climbed only \~14%. That disconnect signals potential trouble ahead ([coindesk.com][1]).

* 10x’s models show **75% of COIN’s value** is tied to Bitcoin’s price and trading volumes—yet COIN is clearly outpacing both .

* According to analyst Markus Thielen, **COIN hasn’t yet hit the +30% overvaluation limit**, but it's fast approaching — meaning a **correction (or “mean reversion”)** could be imminent ([coindesk.com][1]).

### 🎯 What Traders Should Do

1. **Short Coinbase (COIN)**

* If COIN drops back to its fair value, you stand to profit.

2. **Go Long on Bitcoin**

* Expectation: Bitcoin continues its upward trend — buy BTC$BTC .

3. **Or use options:** Sell COIN calls and buy BTC calls — a defined-risk strategy to capitalize on the divergence.

---

## 🔎 Strategy Breakdown

| Action | Why It Works |

| ---------------- | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ |

| **Short COIN** | COIN’s price has surged **84% while Bitcoin only climbed 14%** — a sign of overheating ([coindesk.com][1], [tradingview.com][2], [crypto.ro][3]) |

| **Long Bitcoin** | Bitcoin’s steady 14% gain shows genuine momentum — relative value if COIN corrects |

| **Option pairs** | Sell calls on COIN (collect premiums), buy calls on BTC (leverage BTC upside) while capping risk |

---

## ⚠️ Risks & Considerations

* **COIN might keep rallying**, defying fundamentals.

* **Bitcoin can experience volatility** — tops and corrections are common.

* **Pair trades need tight risk controls:** Use stop losses and position sizing wisely.

---

## 🧠 Final Takeaway

The current **COIN vs BTC** spread is uncomfortably large. Coinbase is racing ahead without solid backing from trading volume or ecosystem growth. That makes this setup ideal for a **contra trade**:

* **Short COIN**: Bet on a correction.

* **Long BTC**: Ride the crypto king’s momentum.

This isn't financial advice, but the **COIN/BTC pair trade** is one of the sharper, capital-efficient plays right now—especially for seasoned traders with risk discipline.

---

🔔 Heads up: **Volatility remains high** across crypto markets. Always do your own research, define your entry/exit points, and stick to tight risk management.

---

**Feeling bullish on BTC or expecting COIN to dip? Let’s discuss—share your strategy

#BTC110KToday? #BinanceHODLerSAHARA #BinanceAlphaAlert #SaylorBTCPurchase