The time left for the main force to wash the盘 is really not much

A couple of days ago, the US dollar index suddenly plummeted, with the direct trigger being the Federal Reserve releasing hints of "a possible interest rate cut in September". The market immediately reacted, starting to bet on "massive liquidity" in advance. Currently, the market believes the probability of an interest rate cut in September exceeds 60%, and even the originally unlikely scenario of July has emerged with a 20% chance.

An interest rate cut means lower bank interest, and a lot of funds will flee from low-risk places to seek higher-yield assets, such as the stock market and Bitcoin. So once interest rate cuts begin, there will be more money in the market, which is beneficial for high-risk assets.

However, there are still many people who are bearish, mainly citing reasons like poor technical trends, unstable international situations, the Federal Reserve still tightening, and both US stocks and Bitcoin being stuck at high levels without moving.

These arguments sound reasonable, but they may not be entirely correct. Bitcoin is inherently a market dominated by large funds, and technical trends can easily be "manipulated"; the international situation has long been a common occurrence that people have grown accustomed to, and the emotional response is not as volatile; more importantly, many countries worldwide have already started cutting interest rates, and expectations have long been driving funds into the market.

For example, the market capitalization of stablecoins has increased by $2 billion in 5 days, which is a small signal of funds secretly entering the market. The market looks quiet, but in reality, it is quietly gathering momentum.

The key issue is: if the main force really wants to crash the盘, they must tighten their grip. Because once interest rates are actually cut in September, retail investors will swarm in to bottom-fish, and the cost of washing the盘 will be high at that time. So the best timing could be July or August.

If an unexpected interest rate cut occurs in July, it could absolutely shock the market, with the situation possibly surging first and then crashing down, tricking retail investors into buying in before harvesting.

In short, the current market is not genuinely bearish; rather, it may be a buildup of strength before a rise. If a rate cut in July does happen, it would be a signal to start, and the market could rise at any moment. The time left for the main force to wash the盘 is not much, and the opportunity for retail investors to bottom-fish is also limited.

Fumbling around alone will never yield opportunities; follow me closely, and I’ll take you to dig for tenfold potential coins! Holding top-tier primary market resources!