🇺🇸 Powell: rates are currently on pause, but why are the markets soaring?
The head of the Fed spoke before Congress and gave the market a soft signal: inflation is slowing, the economy is stable, and rates may be lowered later this year - if trends continue.
Key points from Powell's speech:
🔻 Inflation and tariffs:
Tariffs may drive up prices, but the Fed will not respond to isolated spikes. This means that plans to lower rates will not be disrupted.
🪙 On the rate:
There will be no immediate reaction, but a reduction is possible with easing inflation, a decrease in new job creation, and if tariffs impact the economy.
📊 Economy:
• There is no recession; the economy is growing moderately and steadily.
• Treasury yields are under pressure.
⛏️ Crypto:
• Banks can work with crypto companies if they comply with regulations.
• The Fed does not plan to intervene - and this is positive.
🔍 What the market thinks:
• Easing of Fed policy is becoming increasingly likely in the fall.
• Treasury yields are declining along with the rate → interest in riskier assets is rising.
• A weaker dollar = bullish signal for BTC and commodities.
📈 Conclusion:
Powell made it clear: the course is towards a soft landing.