Hey everyone! I'm a rural person who just got into cryptocurrencies, today is June 27, 2025, and the market fluctuations are making my heart race! After looking at today's market situation and some analyses from prominent figures, I want to try and discuss the price trends of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) for the next couple of days, from a complete novice's perspective, and I welcome guidance from the experts!
Today's market situation
Let's talk about today's market! Based on some information and posts on X, Bitcoin recently has felt a bit like a 'roller coaster.' A while ago, BTC broke the $100,000 mark, even hitting around 108K at its peak, but in the last few days, it has seen some pullback, with today's price hovering around $97,000, down about 5%. Ethereum is relatively weaker, only reaching the daily midline at $2516 before falling back down, current price is around $2200. The overall market sentiment feels a bit cautious, like the calm before a storm!
A prominent figure on X, @Alexbtc333, mentioned that it might be the 'last rally before a crash,' which made me a bit anxious, but another figure, @PerryMemefi, said there is support for ETH/BTC in the key demand zone, and the risk-reward ratio for altcoins is also decent, giving me a sense that the market still holds some hope. In summary, today BTC performed slightly better than ETH, but both coins are facing some pressure.
Several points affecting prices
As a beginner, I've tried to summarize a few factors that might influence the prices in the next couple of days:
1. Macroeconomic and Policy Factors: Recently, tensions in the Middle East are rising (it seems there are new developments on the Iran side), coupled with uncertainties in U.S. tariff policies, the market is generally leaning towards risk aversion, affecting both BTC and ETH. Someone on X also mentioned that Powell said banks can serve the crypto industry, which is considered a positive development, right?
2. Options Market Data: Today on X, @wublockchain12 mentioned that in the BTC options expiration data, the maximum pain point is at $102,000, and for ETH, it is at $2200. The implied volatility (IV) is relatively low, indicating that the market may be brewing for a significant fluctuation. Could there be a big move tomorrow?
3. Technical Analysis: BTC is currently above the daily midline, with 108K as a strong resistance level, while ETH is stuck under the resistance at $2516. @roger73005305 said ETH is unlikely to break through in the short term unless it consolidates for a few weeks. It feels like ETH needs more time to gather strength compared to BTC.
4. Fund Flow: There hasn't been much outflow of funds in the last three days, indicating that some are still observing or buying the dip? However, some analysts say institutional demand has weakened, and BTC ETF funds are flowing out, which could be a hindrance.
Predictions for the next couple of days
Alright, as a rural person, I will boldly make a prediction! (For entertainment only, not investment advice!)
• Bitcoin (BTC):
Today BTC fell below $97,000, and I feel it might continue to fluctuate in the short term. Some on X predict that if the downward trend intensifies, it could dip to $70,000, but others say $100K is a psychological support level, with a low probability of breaking in the short term. I guess in the next couple of days, BTC will fluctuate in the $95,000-100,000 range, and if there is favorable news (like policy easing), it might surge back above $100,000; however, if the situation in the Middle East worsens, it could fall again, with support around $90,000.
• Ethereum (ETH):
ETH has performed weaker than BTC today, and the $2200 options pain point feels like a key level. On X, @PerryMemefi mentioned that ETH/BTC has support in the demand zone, and altcoins might have a rebound opportunity. I feel ETH might fluctuate slightly in the $2100-2300 range in the next couple of days. If BTC stabilizes, ETH may follow with a slight increase, but to break through $2500, it likely needs a stronger catalyst, such as favorable news regarding L2 network upgrades.
Insights from a rural person
As a beginner, looking at these numbers and analyses really makes me dizzy, but it feels like the cryptocurrency market is a vast landscape, where news, technical aspects, and capital flow all need to be considered! Today's market has me both excited and a bit scared; BTC and ETH might still fluctuate in the short term, but looking long-term, many people are quite optimistic about 2025, especially if ETH can break through $7000; I would be over the moon!
Big shots, what do you think BTC and ETH will do in the next couple of days? Feel free to leave a comment, and let's discuss together! (PS: Investing has risks, please be cautious when entering the market!)#加密市场回调 #下一任美联储主席人选
