$BTC
📅 1. Evolution in the last 5 days
• Currently trading at ≈ $107,349, intraday range between $106,934 and $108,146  .
• In the last week, it has moved between $98,200 and $109,000, with a descending channel/triangle formation since the highs of late May .
• Important levels: rebound after falling to $98,200 (June 24) and recovery above $105–107k (yesterday and today) .
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🛠️ 2. Technical analysis
📌 Chart pattern: Descending channel / bearish wedge
Bitcoin is consolidating within a bearish channel or descending wedge, characterized by progressively lower highs and lows, with touches at $109k (resistance) and $100k (support) .
🔍 Highlighted indicators
• Stochastic at 75–85 → strength zone, approaching overbought .
• Positive MACD and bullish crossover → renewed buying momentum .
• Moving averages: price above MA5/20/50 and much higher than 100/200 → bullish bias .
• RSI ~56 → neutral, with room to rise before overbought.
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🌍 3. Fundamental analysis
• Geopolitics: de-escalation in the Middle East boosted risk appetite and rebound from $98k .
• Institutional: capital flows into ETFs and corporate purchases remain strong, indicating professional support .
• Macro: expectations of interest rate cuts in the U.S. and weak economic data favor Bitcoin .
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🗞️ 4. Key news in the coming weeks
• Macro reports from the U.S.: retail sales, jobless claims, and upcoming FOMC can move the dollar and, by extension, BTC .
• Continuation of institutional flows: ETF and corporate purchases will continue to influence.
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🎯 5. Entry strategies based on patterns
A) Bullish breakout from wedge/descending channel
• Entry: daily close ≥ $108,200 with increased volume.
• SL: just below $106,900.
• TP1: $109,500–110,000 → TP2: $112,000 (ATH).