Waterfall countdown! Germany 3,000 pieces $BTC heavy pressure, breaking below 106,683 may directly approach 102,307
When the upper Bollinger Band is under pressure, it is better to earn three to five points less than to let the position turn into a high-altitude tightrope walk!
High position fluctuation is weak, 108,952 is a watershed for bulls and bears, breaking below 106,683 requires caution for waterfall risks
Key signal interpretation
1. Bullish fatigue signal
Double ceiling pressure:
Upper Bollinger Band 109,467.89
Fibonacci strong resistance 108,952.38
MACD golden cross but long red bars 722.96
2. Bearish counterattack script
Breaking below 106,683.47 will trigger a chain reaction:
First stop - Testing 106,683.47
Life-and-death line - 104,844.97
Breaking 104,844.97 with volume will greatly increase the probability of falling to 102,307.41
3. Main force layout clues
Buying area at 98,200
Volume shrinks, large funds are observing the direction of the change
Unwinding practical guide
Stuck above 108,500
Emergency plan: Take advantage of the rebound to 108,200–108,600 to reduce holdings by 50%, the remaining position stop loss at 106,683.47
Psychological construction: “A small loss is a gain, breaking the mid-track may drop 18%”
Stuck around 107,000
Tactical deployment:
Breaking 106,683.47 reduce holdings by 30%
Add positions near 104,844.97
Rebound of 3% to unwind
Everyone must do
Set a tight trailing stop loss:
Conservative: Clear all positions below 105,000
Aggressive: Stop loss at 104,500, leave room to bottom at 98,200
Like the sultry weather before a storm - Technical and news factors converge at the turning point. I have raised my stop loss to 106,500, only chasing after a breakthrough of 108,952.38!
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